this post was submitted on 06 Mar 2024
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[–] KevonLooney@lemm.ee 4 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Lol. People are betting on Obama to win? People are idiots.

It doesn't matter what these polls show. Georgia has two progressive Democratic Senators and this shows Trump leading by 6% there! That's obviously wrong. Nevada is not going to vote for Trump by 8%. They voted for Biden by 2%! It wasn't even close.

Polls mean nothing now because there's no reason for Biden voters to answer that phone call. Trump voters want to shout "Trump!" to anyone who'll listen. Biden voters don't need to be heard because their ego isn't wrapped up in their choice.

It's true Biden is down in "approval ratings", but that doesn't mean those people are voting for a Republican. A large part of them probably want a progressive instead. Biden can lose the "approval" popularity contest and still win the election, because the other choice is so bad.

[–] nickhammes@lemmy.world 1 points 8 months ago

I mean, while it isn't true whether these are likely voters, registered voters, adults, etc. and there were polling errors in 2020, it's definitely possible that if the election were held today, Trump would win. RCP leans a bit conservative, and are probably overestimating Trump, but it might not be enough to change the outcome.

That said, it's probably true that a few percentage point swings in a few key states could move the election back towards a Biden win. Six months enough time, but it'll take work to get there.

There's no option to fix major issues on the ballot, and there may never be, but we can slow them from getting worse, and express ourselves politically outside of voting