this post was submitted on 01 Nov 2023
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New Mexico
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What do you mean dying desert? I haven't heard anything about diminishing water resources.
In fact, I've read and seen models that say we'll fair pretty well during climate change.
Oh my god please give me what you've been reading! I've only heard and read the exact opposite.
https://impactlab.org/map/#usmeas=change-from-hist&usyear=2080-2099&gmeas=absolute&gyear=1986-2005&usrcp=rcp45&usvar=mortality&usprob=0.5
If you take a look at ImpactLab, while our temperatures are going to be increasing, it will be about average with other counties at our latitude. I've seen most models stating we'll increase temperatures, and some models stating we'll decrease temperatures slightly.
Either way, one thing virtually all models agree on, is that our mortality will be low compared to most of the US. Our energy costs will also be very good compared to the rest of the US. You can see these in action by selecting the correct view in ImpactLab.
https://projects.propublica.org/climate-migration/
ProPublica is showing that while we will have increased heat, it will be in line with most of the US, and not worse than much of the Southwest; our crop yield will stay steady, and eventually, some of New Mexico will actually become some of the most suitable land in the US.
I've been very into the upcoming climate change, sometimes unhealthily so. However, the general consensus for the future of New Mexico, especially Bernalillo county, is a major reason I'm not moving elsewhere in the foreseeable future.
Fascinating reads. Thanks for sharing!