this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2023
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Technology

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[–] lvxferre@lemmy.ml 103 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (29 children)

I think that it's important to note the 1% rule.

Most of the traffic of any given platform will be created by people who interact with it only passively; they mostly lurk and, for good or bad, they don't care about it. Admins this, mods that, who the fuck cares, my cat pics sprout spontaneously from the internet.

In the meantime the people who actually contribute with the platform will be a tiny fraction of it. They don't add traffic, but they add value - because they're the ones responsible for creating the content (posting), aggregating value to the content (commenting), sorting the content (voting and moderating). The admins' decisions and the mod revolts affected specially bad this group. And... well, not even the stupid like to be called stupid, and that's basically what the admins did.

Now consider the link. The lurkers are back to Reddit because there's still content to be consumed there, but eventually it'll run dry - because the contributors are leaving the site. As such, you don't expect the mod revolts to have a short-term impact on the site, but rather a long-term one: the site will become less and less popular over time, as the lurkers are looking for content there and... well, nobody is providing them jack shit. Eventually the site will be forgotten by the masses, just like Digg was.

So Reddit will die, mind you. But it won't be a sudden death; it'll be a slow bleeding.

I just wish that this process was slightly faster, specially before the IPO.

[–] Fullest@sh.itjust.works 8 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Lots of people are probably just waiting for better apps for lemmy + the drop dead date for Reddit 3rd party apps. I am, anyway. I'd expect a shift in activity in July.

[–] lvxferre@lemmy.ml 2 points 1 year ago

"Lots" in relation to the Lemmyverse size, but not in relation to the Reddit userbase. This chunk of the Fediverse grew huge in a single month, but it's still considerably smaller than Reddit.

[–] HappycamperNZ@lemmy.world 2 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Any lemmy apps coming out? Found one but it doesn't stay open.

[–] Rhabuko@feddit.de 4 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Sync for Lemmy is in the work and a first working Beta should come out in 3 - 6 Weeks.

[–] AmbientChaos@sh.itjust.works 2 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Jerboa for android and Mlem for iOS are already out and getting better everyday!

[–] HappycamperNZ@lemmy.world 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I cant seem to get jerboa to work - keeps closing just after opening

[–] AmbientChaos@sh.itjust.works 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I read there are some issues with pre 0.18 versions of Lemmy with the latest versions of Jerboa. It should be fixed soon though, and an update as big as 0.18 for Lemmy should be rare in the future

[–] HappycamperNZ@lemmy.world 1 points 1 year ago

Thank you - ill keep it installed

[–] morhp@lemmy.wtf 0 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Using Jerboa right know. I kinda like it, but compared to Relay for Reddit and so on, it's of course not as polished.

[–] AmbientChaos@sh.itjust.works 1 points 1 year ago

Give it the decade+ that Relay has had to be developed and I bet Jerboa will be really awesome :)

[–] Airradda_@lemmy.ml 1 points 1 year ago

There's Thunder which is in the works, still missing some needed features for me, like media downloading, however it is decent for simple looking at Lemmy.

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