The losses are for less than nothing. Even with their seemingly inexorable advance they've lost overall territory and fighting ability relative to Ukraine. I still project Russia has maybe 2 years tops of fighting left but so long as Ukraine limits their withdrawal rate to what we've seen of late they will win.

[–] Buffalox@lemmy.world 0 points 2 weeks ago

Kyiv

Yes sorry, I used the old Danish way of writing it.

I still project Russia has maybe 2 years tops of fighting left

That's a tough call, I think if Harris win the election and congress, this could be over sooner, like next summer but 2 years tops.
But if Trump win the election, Putin might declare war, which will enable him to sacrifice more than twice the personnel they've been doing for the past few months.
And Ukraine may have to do with less help than they are getting now.

But even then, the Russian economy is strained to the limit already, so they might not be able to increase their effort even if they declare war, and the Russian economy could easily collapse within 2 years.

So yes, I think although it's hard to say for sure, it's very likely that Russia can't take more then 2 years more of this. I'm pretty certain that already in ½ a year, we will begin to see that Russia is getting weaker. Next year around this time, if USA keeps helping, I'm pretty sure Ukraine will have a decisive advantage.