this post was submitted on 24 Sep 2024
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I think the big event is going to be the capture of Pokrovsk because that's going to cut supply lines to the south. This will create an operational disaster for Ukraine. There are also no more fortified positions past Pokrovsk, it's open ground all the way to Dnepr from there on. Once the front is split, then I expect the rate of the collapse is going to increase rapidly.