this post was submitted on 14 Oct 2024
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Neoliberal

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[–] njm1314@lemmy.world 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

The last election was in 2020. Where Trump had over 74 million votes. The polling for that election predicted Trump would get 48% of the vote, which if you'll notice is within the margin of error of the 47% he actually got. I say again if you think 45% of the voting population pulling for Donald Trump in this next election is unrealistic I think you might be living in a Dreamworld. It's going to be close. These poles are not far off base. I'm not sure why you think there's so much less support for Trump than there really is.

[–] atrielienz@lemmy.world 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

I think you're reading things into what I said that you probably shouldn't be, and that's skewing how you read what I wrote. I am fully aware of how close polls are to how many votes he's likely to get. But overall what I'm pointing out is that he does not have half of the eligible voting population at his back. There's a significant number of registered voters who do not vote and therein lies the reason the polls are currently showing him as competitive with Harris. If more people vote that gap widens. I went with the numbers for the last time he won to illustrate the point of what happens when people don't vote in the election.

You'll note that I said specifically that this is why people are urging everyone who can vote to vote.

This is worded the way it is to illustrate to outsiders that it's not half the country supporting Trump because that's been a really big assumption I have seen repeatedly.