this post was submitted on 01 Oct 2023
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That's why I included the clause "if Firefox starts to gain too much traction". I agree that currently Firefox is no threat to Google, but if it starts to become, they will strike hard against it.
And unfortunately, antitrust investigations do little against the Titans of Big Tech, just look at what it (didn't) do to Microsoft.
On the contrary, if Firefox market share were to grow then Mozilla would only be in a better position to negotiate with Google. And the fact they support a rival with a larger share would only strengthen the argument that Google is not monopolistic.
Don't lose sight of the fact that Google's main concern is Search market share, not browser market share. As long as Mozilla agrees to keep Google Search as default Firefox could have 90% market share and Google would still be ok with it.
It's true that browser market share also counts indirectly, because it allows them to influence the technology. If Google rolls out support for something, or withholds support for something, it affects everybody and can make or kill any particular piece of tech.
Browser engine dominance will come under scrutiny (and it will be a deep and fascinating rabbit hole), but later. Right now it's about Search.
One can hope.