Videos show no indication of a secondary detonation of that size (or at all). It's a single large primary strike. Moreover, Hamas does not have the capability to launch a rocket with this explosive capacity. Hamas' best rocket is the Ayyash 250, which wouldn't even come close to this much damage. The amount of damage in this strike is much more in line with an American ATACMS or a Russian Iskander (and, in fact, seems larger) and Hamas is decades from developing that capability. It's far more likely to be a large guided munition like a JDAM.

The Russia-Ukraine war has shown has plenty of examples of what happens when you strike an ammo depot. You're free to compare for yourself.

[–] circuscritic@lemmy.ca 0 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (1 children)

You just cited three "comparable" munitions whose payloads and characteristics are widely different. Two of which are cruise missles, and conveniently, all in the news recently.

Your analysis is also based on questionable footage, which by the way, has sound (sound effects?) of artillery, or rocket artillery, not that of a cruise missile.

But sure, if that footage is authentic, that noise could be something like a JDAM, or another air dropped bomb, even if it does sound more like incoming rocket artillery IMO.

My point is just that it's irresponsible to ascribe definite attribution with the presently available information. That's it.

[–] zerfuffle@lemmy.ml 4 points 11 months ago (1 children)

The sound of the munition used in the strike and the size of the explosion is in line with JDAMs used in prior conflicts, not that of a misfired missile: https://x.com/wyattreed13/status/1714338974544625692?s=20

Feel free to compare with the use of other JDAMs: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_uwzugvv-g

Hamas simply doesn't have the ability to launch a warhead of the capacity being claimed.

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