this post was submitted on 12 Jun 2023
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Technology
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I'm expecting the CEO to push back the date of the API implementation by a month or two (still a bit doubtful) but I don't see him changing his original stance given his narcissistic attitude.
I’m expecting the API change to happen exactly as planned. As a result all 3rd party apps will die by the end of this month, and the user count will take a severe hit. Many essential mod tools will stop working, so those who actually found the default app tolerable, will get to see all subs go downhill since they aren’t really being moderated anymore. As a result, the user count will continue to decline in the following months as people come to terms with Reddit sucking harder than before. Oh, but then it gets even worse when the spam bots and official ads start taking over every sub. Most likely the next year is going to be very rough in terms of user count.
I can't believe that they didn't do at least some research on how many people use 3rd party apps and account for those losses. The question is really how many will leave vs how many will just switch to the official app. I suspect most will just switch. It's sad really. Hopefully Infinity for Reddit (and other 3rd party apps) will support Lemmy. Guess we'll have to wait and see.
I think they did do research and third party app users make up a small enough portion of their user base that losing them is okay to Reddit.
Keep in mind how popular Reddit is -- for the most part the people left will be content with the karma bots reposting memes for the thirtieth time and there's always going to be somebody racing to be the first to post some news to a related subreddit.
I doubt it'll affect their bottom line too much and in a week it'll be back to business as usual for most subreddits.
users maybe, but i don’t think they considered mods in that. of course they can just replace mods as necessary, but the mod quality will go down for sure.
Sadly, I think you are right about that.