this post was submitted on 05 Dec 2023
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I call cap on the study. Correlation is not causation and it could simply be that the things that caused mental decline, are also the reason for the poor sleep patterns.
My chronic anxiety ruins my sleep despite always giving myself over 8 hours of time to sleep.
My having to pee ruins mine. Then once I'm up the overthinking keeps me up. I try to have a catalog of unimportant shit to obsess over to make me fall back asleep.
That's addressed in the article:
This is a more nuanced statement than "correlation is not causation" yet means pretty much the same thing. In medicine, the sciences, sociology, and personal anecdotal evidence, correlation and patterns are where research starts. Honest researchers understand the use and misuse of statistics (for both science and profit). Generally (with plenty of exceptions) once correlations are found the search for mechanisms can begin. So one could say "correlation can lead to causation," and not be far wrong.
Did the study explicitly claim causation?
Yes, it's in the summary above:
"Our finding tells us that maintaining healthy, consistent sleep habits long-term may be important in optimizing brain health as you age."
Implying that poor sleep is directly causative instead of some underlying pathology being causative of both poor sleep and cognitive decline.
It says may be important, which is supported by the study. It may be, and this is good evidence to have when arguing for resources and funding for future research with more predictive power.
It doesn't imply causality; that's what you read. It presents the possibility of it, which is valid and completely normal in research.