Also, there's the airframe and then there are the missiles you put on it. Depending on what these F-16 load up with can make a whole lot of difference.

I doubt they'll be doing much dogfighting. The challenge will be to get in the air, fire off missiles, and land back without getting shot down.

Edit: Oh and another thing that makes a lot of difference is radar assets. I bet those F-16s are going to get extended eyes and ears thanks to NATO AWACS flying high but within NATO borders.