this post was submitted on 26 Feb 2024
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This is an interesting possibility for avoiding WWIII, but what kind of target would be hit?
Breaking the frontlines wouldn't really be possible I think especially with Russia's own troops nearby, so perhaps an attack against a logistics base behind the frontline or even going for the NATO countries' base far at the rear so NATO couldn't say they got attacked in their own territories?
Another possibility could be a nuclear attack against the first country Russia engages with, but I'm not sure they would do that.
I'm not promoting Russia making a nuclear strike now, nor necessarily anytime soon, or even necessarily doing it as the first strike. My point- and suspicion- however was that things would continue to escalate, in Ukraine, in Palestine and the MENA region, and in rogue Taipei, until a nuclear strike of some sort would be inevitable, and I suspect that peace cannot be found until the resolve for MAD is tested and found willing. Until then, I don't see the neocon agenda of ever-expanding, unhinged hegemonic warmongering coming to a standstill. Sooner or later (hopefully, later) the neocon ideology will force this scenario IMO.
I wonder, given how the west is starting to have a lot of distrust in the government and given the political divisions forming, if a call for war and the subsequent draft wouldn't end in civil wars across the west. How many people legitimately would want to fight for the countries they live in right now? The right wing maybe, but they likely don't give a damn about supporting a government they see as, whatever right wingers think.
Or would it strengthen internal ties?
In short; everyone go get diagnosed with bone spurs!
And how many would actively resist? Everyone says they don't trust their government, that it's corrupt and needs to change, yadda yadda. But the moment the ghost of Russia, China or communism appears - brains turn off and it's full on goose step. Will the citizens of Poland, Germany, Moldova actually fight their governments should those governments begin conscription? Or will they hunker down and pray somebody else gets nabbed? "Sure I don't want to die for the government, but someone should!"
Just a nuclear test. Like the DPRK. Hitting any target will just lead to retaliation