Release target is tentatively mid April according to here..
this post was submitted on 05 Mar 2024
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av1 is going to be super niche and never fully adopted, just like ogg was for audio. h264/265 will be the main thing going for years and is just fine.
Are you aware that all android devices with A14 have av1 support as a requirement?
Also Apple is adding that, and amazon sticks already support av1 natively.
Said that, indeed h264 is and will be the safest and most supported choice for a very long time.
As 265 goes, not so sure.
I doubt it. In a decade its probably going to be the standard. It just takes time for devices to support it.