this post was submitted on 20 Apr 2024
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The NCR was not just Shady Sands. It was all of California up into Oregon and into Nevada. Literally everywhere the show goes shouldn't be post apocalyptic thanks to the NCR's GECK
The show literally does not comment on whether or not the NCR still exists elsewhere. Arguably, like in real life, it's a war of attrition, where differing sides gain and lose ground in different areas at different times.
Ukraine has won and lost lots of battles, and they have won and lost ground. Just because it doesn't comment on the NCR doesn't mean that the NCR is gone, it could easily be that we're seeing one small slice of the NCR in a place where it is losing ground.
Further, this timeline is post-New Vegas, and there's a good chance that the canon ending was Mr. House succeeding in deploying his Securitron army. We don't know of other aftermath, whether he used that to destroy local NCR forces, and so on. The aftermath of a war between NCR and the Securitrons would certainly leave a "post-apocalyptic" wake of destruction.
Finally, none of that even touches on whether or not it was potentially Cesar's legion or some other currently unnamed faction who slowly broke down the NCR organization over time.
There could be plenty of valid reasons why things are so fucked in the West, and they don't all involve completely retconning everything.
Its not House since New Vegas is a wasteland.
New Vegas is a tourist-based economy. If the NCR pulled out for any reason then it'd get pretty wasteland-ey pretty quick.
Also if House is alive in Season 2 then the only possible canon ending is The House Always Wins, since every other ending explicitly leads to his death.