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Biden's approval rating just hit its lowest mark on record
(www.businessinsider.com)
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this post was submitted on 10 Jun 2024
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So the biggest issue on polling is that it's a broken system. It relies on all people to answer when asked, and what we're seeing is people flat out aren't doing it. Think about it. When's the last time you answered an unknown number, and if that number wasn't something you were expecting (like your car repair person telling you your vehicle was ready) did you stay on the line?
This same kind of thing is popping up when we look at polling for the primaries and then see the actual voter data. They haven't been lining up for a while.
Think back to 2022. The media, for months, was saying there was going to be a red wave election. Polling was supporting this as well. And... they had a measly 5 seat majority.
I think people are putting way too much faith in polling the past few cycles, because something fundamentally changed in how people interact with them.
Yeah, I was texted the other day to fill out a survey and didn't even reply with the "stop to opt out". Just, leave me alone. I'm not excited for Biden but I'm going to do what I need to do. That won't show in any polls.
Yeah like, most people have shit to do. I'm excited to vote for Biden again actually (he did get a lot of good stuff done with an extremely tight congress), and sure there are things he 100% did that I'm not on board with, but that's everything. You're never going to get 100% of what you want, but he's the closest I'll get so lets do it!
It's just very frustrating how they're framing the race this cycle. They completely ignore trumps many disqualifiers while talking about polling that, by all rights, he's paying for bad results again.