this post was submitted on 07 Oct 2023
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Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.

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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:

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[–] metallic_z3r0@infosec.pub 18 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I think it's clear we need to remove carbon from the atmosphere in addition to moving away from carbon-producing energy sources entirely. It's also obvious that these systems will only have net-negative carbon impacts if they're powered by renewables. At this point it's much more carbon-removing and cost-effective to transition to renewables than for energy companies to "offset emissions" by buying "carbon credits" in the form of running these technologies while still producing CO2 etc. At the same time, many countries in Africa have ample renewable resources and would benefit from investment in electrical infrastructure, and if there's incentive to choose renewable instead of fossil fuel to develop Africa and bring up the quality of life of the people living there while industrializing, I think that's ok, and might lead to fewer emissions overall (assuming African countries' industrialization follows the trend of other developing nations).

[–] Blake@feddit.uk 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

This comment is well reasoned. Carbon capture is worth continued development and research, it should be a long-term goal once we have moved to 100% renewable sources of energy, until that point it’s just wasteful to spend money on this where it would better be spent on provisioning more renewables or infrastructure as you very rightly point out.

[–] sartalon@futurology.today 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I have to disagree with you because we need to invest now, if for no better reason, to advance carbon capture technology. It needs to advance in parallel. Otherwise we are just pushing that can down the road.

As much as I want to be 100% renewable/clean, that is never going to happen. Not at our population, not at our power demand level, not at our rate of growth.

Hell, we can't even get people to accept nuclear power as part of the solution.

[–] Blake@feddit.uk 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

100% renewable is absolutely achievable and viable, according to many industry expert ye including the IEC. Arguing otherwise is fossil fuel industry propaganda.

Nuclear energy isn’t really part of the solution. It can continue to exist as it currently does but building more nuclear power isn’t going to help, it’s too expensive and too slow to provision. The best solution is to double, triple or quadruple funding/investment in renewables and infrastructure. That’s very achievable and the most viable option.

[–] sartalon@futurology.today 2 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Not as it exists now. There are zero viable solutions for shipping or air travel, for example.

Achievable yes, but not in any near time frame, so we HAVE to look at other mitigating options as well.

Putting all your eggs in one basket is a very poor strategy.

Building more nuclear WOULD help. Yes, it has a huge capital front cost, and it takes a while to earn that back, but then it keeps paying.

The whole point of allowing these localized monopolies on power, is because power benefits from economy of scale and nuclear, right now, is the pinnacle of that. Large up front cost but also a solid, continual return that doesn't rely on outside factors.

[–] Blake@feddit.uk 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

“The majority of studies show that a global transition to 100% renewable energy across all sectors – power, heat, transport and industry – is feasible and economically viable.”

I agree that having all the eggs in one basket isn’t a great idea - luckily there are a good 4 or 5 sources of renewables, most of which are cheaper and better than nuclear, such as solar, wind, geothermal and hydroelectric.

Nuclear is more expensive than renewables in total, not just for startup cost. Per kW generated, nuclear is somewhere between 2x and 5x more expensive than renewables.

When it comes to benefiting from economies of scale, wind and solar are far more poised to benefit than nuclear. Nuclear is not gonna help us. It’s too expensive and too slow.

[–] sartalon@futurology.today 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

You are quoting "The majority of studies..." but I am not sure where you are pulling that from.

I have an issue with that quote since it is absolutely wrong about shipping and air trasport.

Edit:

And furthermore, you can't just abandon a significant sector and expect to pick it up later on.

There is tremendous momentum in each sector and to just focus on one, at the behest of others, is a TERRIBLE idea. Each sector does not exist in a vacuum. They all have supporting industries that also need to be developed and planned out. To put everything into renewables, is irresponsible at best. If we don't subsidize it all all. Then it will be a stillborn process that will never see anything outside an office.

Great, we now have 100% renewables, but we've had elevated CO2 for decades and now we have to spin up carbon capture from scratch because someone had the great idea to drop everything else. So add another 20 years for that to work up. We don't have that luxury.

[–] Uranium3006@kbin.social 1 points 1 year ago

The NS Savannah was a working civilian nuclear ship. We can just do that

[–] neanderthal@lemmy.world 5 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Wouldn't it be more effective in terms of cost and GHG levels to replace coal plants with renewables?

[–] Blake@feddit.uk 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Yes, you’re absolutely right. Carbon capture is a big waste of time and money.

[–] wahming@monyet.cc 6 points 1 year ago (3 children)

That's what everybody said about solar / renewables in its infancy. We know we're going to need the technology, far better to start developing it now than when it's too late.

[–] RoboGroMo@slrpnk.net 3 points 1 year ago

yeh this is a really promising technology and it's not as far as most people seem to think from being widely adoptable, there are some great projects underway

The CCH2 [Carbon Capture and Hydrogen production from Biomass, Kew Technology] Project will develop designs for additional modules which will upgrade this gas to produce separate high-purity Hydrogen and CO2 streams. The hydrogen can be sold for industrial / transport applications and the CO2 sent for sequestration (20,000 tonnes per year per module). The strong revenues from the hydrogen enable overall very low costs per tonne of CO2 removed and the financing of sustainable biomass supply chains in a circular economy providing multiple environmental and societal benefits including new rural and industrial jobs.

basically you grow a load of plants (generally the excess biomass from crops and maintained spaces) and burn them (in this case through a gasification process that releases hydrogen also) the carbon which is released is then captured for storage or use, this can be especially useful when burning plants that have grown on toxic ground or polluted rivers as a way of absorbing all the bad stuff which is then trapped forever and returned to an old coalmine along with all the carbon that originally came from there.

another interesting project that just got funding is DRIVE;

Mission Zero has developed a new DAC technology that, at scale, is projected to have 75% lower costs and energy footprints than today’s commercial solutions and is suitable for both carbon utilisation and sequestration (CCUS) use cases. With engineering support from Optimus, the project will design Mission Zero’s 365 tons a year pilot plant in Phase 1. This will integrate with O.C.O Technology’s CCUS process which stores CO2 permanently while producing building aggregates from waste.

using the captured carbon to make useful materials like building aggregates makes it far more likely systems will get adopted, especially if they get to a price point where they're creating profitable items This is something a lot of people are working on

[Cambridge Carbon Capture Ltd] aims to deliver a fully costed plan for a demonstrator capable of capturing CO2 from air and converting it directly into a mineral by-product with uses as construction materials using CCC’s CO2LOC carbon capture and mineralisation technology.

Another really cool use of captured carbon has recently passed a loads of tests from the US Air Force who've worked with a company called Twelve on a project to create a viable jet fuel from CO2,

E-Jet fuel is SAF produced using Twelve’s revolutionary carbon transformation technology, which uses only renewable energy and water to transform CO2 into critical chemicals, materials and fuels conventionally made from fossil fuels, and in partnership with Emerging Fuels Technology. As a power-to-liquid SAF with up to 90% lower lifecycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions compared to conventional, petroleum-based jet fuel, E-Jet fuel meets the applicable ASTM International specifications and is a drop-in ready synthetic fuel that works seamlessly with existing aircraft and airport infrastructure. It faces no real constraints on feedstock, thus offering the best viable long-term solution for addressing GHG and other emissions from the aviation sector.

the test facility they're currently building isn't going to produce much but it's a huge first step on the way to industrialisation of the technology,

The facility is expected to begin E-Jet fuel production in mid-2024 at a capacity of approximately five barrels per day (40,000 gallons per year), with plans to quickly increase production capacity.

that's only about 0.00007% of the Jet Fuel used per year, but if they refine the system and make one which can be built at any airport using power from onsite renewables then it's likely we'd see a very rapid adoption.

[–] Blake@feddit.uk 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (2 children)

That’s what everybody said about solar / renewables

I don’t think that’s true, can you back up your claim?

we’re going to need the technology

I support research and development of the technology, because it’s something which could be useful in the future. But this article is about building carbon capture facilities today, which is a big waste of money.

[–] wahming@monyet.cc 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I don’t think that’s true, can you back up your claim?

It's survived till today as a conservative talking point. How solar can't pay off its own manufacturing costs, etc etc. None of it's true, but that's where it started.

I support research and development of the technology, because it’s something which could be useful in the future. But this article is about building carbon capture facilities today, which is a big waste of money.

R&D does not happen solely in the lab. At some point, you need concrete, full scale examples to work with on ironing out the kinks and figuring out where theory doesn't apply in reality.

We're not building a thousand of these plants. This is the early PoC example that we need to progress the technology.

[–] Blake@feddit.uk -1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Sure, I’m happy to support building large scale experimental establishments to test the theories, but that’s not what this is at all. This is a commercial installation in Africa, of all places. Why would the European research teams build a research facility so far away? That doesn’t make sense.

[–] wahming@monyet.cc 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

What's the difference between a large scale experimental establishment, and a first of its kind commercial experimental establishment?

As for location, presumably cheap land, power, lack of NIMBYs. Maybe tax incentives.

[–] Blake@feddit.uk 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

It’s not the first of its kind though. It’s just the first in Africa. There are already a bunch of these in Europe and America.

If the researchers are in Europe then it doesn’t work for the plant to be in Africa. I don’t know why you’re arguing such an obviously wrong position lol

[–] wahming@monyet.cc 1 points 1 year ago

Yeah scratch the first of its kind, wasn't thinking when I wrote that. Nevertheless, my point stands. For the technology to grow and develop we need PoCs to be constructed. Valuable data can be obtained from operating the PoCs that we wouldn't otherwise get.

If the researchers are in Europe then it doesn’t work for the plant to be in Africa.

In this age where everything is networked and teams can be distributed worldwide, what in the world does it matter if the plant is in Africa? If anything, it would be encouraging knowledge transfer and dissemination.

I don’t know why you’re arguing such an obviously wrong position lol

In most online discussions, that's exactly how the other person feels about you. We generally keep it civil by not saying it out loud, though.

[–] Uranium3006@kbin.social 1 points 1 year ago

More than 10 years ago solar and wind were talked about very diffrently. They required subsidies to operate and weren't cost effective. We nursed the new technology to commertial viability and everyone forgot about that part

[–] Uranium3006@kbin.social 1 points 1 year ago

That's my though, do the r&d now and full scale deploy when we have more renewabel energy

[–] Uranium3006@kbin.social 2 points 1 year ago

That's gotta happen regardless, and co2 has an atmospheric half life of thousands of years, so we need to get it out somehow to get back to 0°

[–] riodoro1@lemmy.world 4 points 1 year ago

Im waiting for the mountains of coal we’ve burned (and continue to burn) everyday to be re-extracted from the atmosphere. I think i need something comfortable to sit.

[–] lntl@lemmy.ml 0 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

@Blake@feddit.uk thought you might be interested in saving Africa some cash

[–] Blake@feddit.uk 1 points 1 year ago

Yep, carbon capture, much like nuclear, isn’t cost efficient. Investments in electrical infrastructure in Africa should be the top priority there, they still predominantly use paraffin fuel for lighting and other combustibles for cooking and heating. The main issue there is infrastructure rather than energy production. But rolling out energy infrastructure isn’t sexy and profitable so it’s low priority for these capitalist monsters haha