this post was submitted on 26 Nov 2024
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Source Canalys report

Relevant quote regarding Snapdragon X

“As this was the first full quarter of shipments for Snapdragon X Series PCs, we saw sequential growth of around 180% compared to Q2 2024. However, as a proportion of the total Windows market, the products remain very niche, at less than 1.5% share. The top shipping vendor was Microsoft, which has transitioned most of their Surface line to the platform. Behind them was Dell who has embraced the new platform quite strongly in terms of SKU count, followed by HP, Lenovo, Acer and Asus (all four with similar volumes).”

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[–] BananaTrifleViolin@lemmy.world 61 points 10 hours ago* (last edited 9 hours ago) (1 children)

This is such a bizarre story. First as others pointed out 1 in 125 is 0.8% not 0.008%. They presumably forgot the 100 but in percent conversions. It's presumably 0.8% as if it's 0.008% then they're saying 9billion devices were sold on the last quarter. At 0.8% it's 90million laptop devices. They later say 20% of all laptop sales were AI laptops at 13.3 million which would be 66.5 million laptops overall, not 90milljon. 720,000 would actually 1.1% of all laptops and 5.4% of the AI subcategory.

So whoever wrote the article doesn't seem to know how to do basic maths? They also don't make clear how they arrived at their figures with these contradictory figures elsewhere in their own article.

But the main thing is this whole story is some bizarre idea that a new device getting nearly 1% of global sales in its first quarter is doing badly?

To me that's actually good? But maybe the manufacturer had some crazy expectations? Or maybe the writers think that all products should behave like incumbents?

This reads like shitty journalism - trying to make big claims to get clicks. I have no idea if the product is doing well or not versus expectations, but I don't trust this articles take on it.

I'm personally skeptical about the "AI" bullshit in these products, but I do think the power efficiency of ARM chips may give these Snapdragon X a chance to take market share from traditional chips.

[–] Alphane_Moon@lemmy.world 9 points 9 hours ago* (last edited 3 hours ago)

But the main thing is this while story is some bizarre idea that a new device getting nearly 1% of global sales in its first quarter is doing badly?

There was a lot of hype for this and some sketchy work by Qualcomm around benchmarks (initially posted benchmarks that were based on a linux setup with 100% custom cooling, none of the released products came close to this result and it's not really viable to run Linux on Snapdragon X devices even to this day).

  • Ars Technica - Qualcomm Snapdragon X Elite looks like the Windows world’s answer to Apple Silicon
  • The Verge - Qualcomm’s next round of PC chips will fight Apple under the name Snapdragon X
  • Tomshardware - Snapdragon X Elite Outperforms Intel, AMD, Apple CPUs (In Vendor Benchmarks)
[–] KoboldCoterie@pawb.social 59 points 11 hours ago* (last edited 10 hours ago) (1 children)

Their math is fucked.

1 in 125 devices would be 0.8%, whereas 0.008% would be 1 in 12500 devices. I mean I guess technically 1 in 12500 is "less than" 1 in 125 devices, but come on.

They later note that it captured "less than 1.5%" of the ecosystem, which... yeah, the numbers they already gave us support that, but by how much? We have no idea, because of their fucked up math.

I assume "1 in 125" is correct, because otherwise, to have sold 720,000 units, there would have had to be about 9 billion total sales in that period.

[–] boatswain@infosec.pub 2 points 3 hours ago (1 children)

Their headline, and the summary above, actually say 0.8%. so either they updated their headline or there was some kind of error when posting it here.

[–] Alphane_Moon@lemmy.world 3 points 2 hours ago

I posted the headline as-is. Updated it with the new headline.

[–] PetteriPano@lemmy.world 26 points 10 hours ago (2 children)

It's just an expensive paperweight until we can run Linux on it.

[–] stsquad@lemmy.ml 6 points 10 hours ago* (last edited 10 hours ago)

Now you can install uboot and get a property uefi implementation it shouldn't take too long: https://social.treehouse.systems/@cas/113539953511804908

I need to check the driver situation but I don't think there was anything particularly windows only on the SoC.

[–] mannycalavera@feddit.uk 5 points 10 hours ago

Partial support is coming in four years time they've announced. We just have to wait 🫠.

[–] pycorax@lemmy.world 8 points 9 hours ago (1 children)

With Lunar Lake proving that x86 can contend with ARM if it wants to, I'm not sure why anyone would consider these laptops which perform about the same but with compatibility issues.

[–] dustyData@lemmy.world 6 points 6 hours ago (1 children)

Power efficiency. Arm promises the same performance at lower temps and wattage than x86 at competitive price points. That's a really attractive proposition for the laptop market. x86 can be as small format, as power efficient, as cheap, or as powerful than ARM but not all at the same time.

[–] pycorax@lemmy.world 6 points 5 hours ago (1 children)

That's not true at all. It's a common misconception but there's nothing stopping x86 from also targeting a power efficient design. It's all about architecture and not the instruction set. There just hasn't been an incentive for Intel and AMD to focus their architectures on power efficiency since they make much more money in the server space. Lunar Lake is Intel's first real attempt at it.

The Z1 Extreme has already shown very comparable and sometimes better performance and power efficiency as the M2 chips and the Lunar Lake chips trade blows with the X Elite not just in performance but also power draw.

If you wanna know more, this goes very in depth on what the differences are: https://chipsandcheese.com/p/why-x86-doesnt-need-to-die

[–] dustyData@lemmy.world 2 points 4 hours ago* (last edited 4 hours ago)

I agree it is not because they can't but because they didn't want to. But the truth is they haven't. Current offers match exactly what I have described in my comment. Intel and AMD have been sleeping on their laurels and ARM is coming for their lunch unless they move quick.

[–] PushButton@lemmy.world 7 points 9 hours ago* (last edited 9 hours ago)

My neighbor bought one, it didn't boot / light up. He sent it back to get a new one.

He's happy so far as you can tell...

[–] ExcessShiv@lemmy.dbzer0.com 8 points 11 hours ago* (last edited 10 hours ago)

0.008% is 1 in 12,500, not 1 in 125...well, technically it is still less than 1 in 125, but I doubt that's what they mean.

[–] BigTrout75@lemmy.world 5 points 9 hours ago

How about a big Snapdragon laptop sale?

[–] lukstru@lemmy.world 4 points 10 hours ago

I just recently bought my framework and would not like to upgrade this soon. However, I really want a Qualcomm Mobo for my framework to come out. Or a competitive risk V, but that’s probably a pipe dream until I actually need an upgrade

[–] AlecSadler@sh.itjust.works 2 points 10 hours ago

Needs less AI bullshit and then maybe I'd consider it.