this post was submitted on 24 Dec 2024
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Economy

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What betting markets got right and wrong about Trump’s victory (www.economist.com)
submitted 3 days ago by lemmy_news@lemmy.wtf to c/economy@lemmy.world
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[–] hansolo@lemm.ee 1 points 3 days ago

Lucky or biased?

The UK betting market has been more accurate than polls for more than a century. It called the 2020 and 2024 winners a week or so out. The only misses have been Dewey vs. Truman and 2016, which polls also missed.