No, but the more pertinent question is why should it? Why do we want that?
this post was submitted on 04 Jul 2023
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Mainstream yes. Fully replace? Never. However I don't think that traditional counterparts will ever be as big as they were before. I think we're seeing a shift in people's relationship with these platforms.
I think Lemmy is coming along nicely. There is lots of content for me to consume. I am on lemmy.ca so I haven't seen any of the bugs other people are talking about, it just works except for subscribing to places on the busy instances which shows pending for a while.
People will get used to how this works and I think it snowballs from here.
I mean... Reddit itself is already very niche
Lemmy probably won't every be mainstream. Mastodon, probably, not confident about it.
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I'm already there, and acknowledge my sample size is low. :)
I’m hopeful but it will take a while. I want to see where we are in 6 months from now. Apps need to be pushed to the stores (at least on iOS).
That being said, it needs protocols for migrating instances when an instance is dead or about to die. Then there are some privacy concerns and such. It’s also not clear how it all can sustain monetarily except via donations.
But seeing the recent growth spurts and increase in new posts, I am still hopeful that this place has staying power.
mainstream's not all it's cracked up to be..
Unless it politically comes to the center, then absolutely not. Right now it’s a circle-jerk of tankies.
I'd like to think so but it will take a lot to lower the bar in terms of general confusion with the different instances and federation
Eventually, yes.
It's like in voting. Everyone lets do their part. Inviting colleagues, friends. And that will make it become such.
I like the idea of Mastodon and obviously I could be wrong, but I don’t think it will be very huge just because of the name of the site/app. I think it needs a better or catchy name.
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No, I don’t think it will grow as big as the other socials. Because for the average Joe Normie it is way too complicated to understand what the fediverse is, and where they should sign up or post. In other words: the entry barrier is substantially higher than the competition.
However with simplified browsers like Wefwef it makes things a bit easier, and I do think it can grow reasonably big. Maybe in the future when there is more information available and the fediverse has matured.
It depends on how many content creators and important community members will be ready to move from centralized social networks to here
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Probably not. And if it ever gets too big, they will find a way to fuck it up 😉
I'm less worried about Lemmy becoming mainstream, and more worried about if it's good enough for me. Right now, it seems more than good enough, and I love the fact that it's not relying on corporate backing or ad revenue.
Mastodon seems like it's approaching an inflection point, especially with the upcoming arrival of Threads. It sounds like Threads won't support ActivityPub on day one, but with that support presumably arriving in the near future, I think a lot of what's happening on the fediverse could be legitimized. I just hope Facebook doesn't do the same thing they did with XMPP ten years ago.