beq

joined 1 year ago
[–] beq@sh.itjust.works 1 points 8 months ago

Danke sehr! Das ist ja alleine noch nicht ganz so beunruhigend, auch wenn ca. 20% Neonazi-Ideologie-nahe Wählerinnen und Wähler schon sehr bedenklich ist.

Jetzt mag ich mich auch noch erinnern, dass ich gelesen hatte, dass CDUCSU mit der AfD eine absolute Mehrheit erreichen könnte. Das scheint zumindest zutreffend zu sein.

[–] beq@sh.itjust.works 2 points 8 months ago

This comment is way too long. Sorry.

[–] beq@sh.itjust.works 3 points 8 months ago (2 children)

Even though it's not, it certainly looks like one. It's what your readers perceive that matters. I write a little blog about family life in a local newspaper. I write the content before it is published, but after publication, the text belongs to the readers. I have no possibility of altering the content after reading the comments and understanding what the people think the text is expressing. It wouldn't matter, anyway, as none will come back later to read the updated version and almost everyone will read it in the first few hours after publication. Editing after publication is futile. This is just to underpin that, explaining a graph on a different website is bonkers, as only data analysts will actually follow the link to understand the data behind the graph. "Normal" people will take the graph as is and jump to the most obvious conclusion: "Librewolf, Mullvad, Brave, Chromium are all better than Firefox, and Chrome is the worst!". Or even better, "Ah, a list of browsers. Chrome seems to be the best one. Cool! scroll". Those are the ones that didn't even comment or up- or downvote the post. You won't ever know who or how many those people are. The best approach might indeed be to delete the post, build yourself some data visualization knowledge, and come back with an improved graph. Also, even though you say it's impossible to weigh the individual points in the tests, this might still be something you have to do to get your message across, whatever that might be. It involves work. You'll be ok. Making mistakes like this and posting them publicly is what will give you the information you need to improve.

[–] beq@sh.itjust.works 2 points 8 months ago (3 children)

Was sind eigentlich die aktuellen Gewählten-Zahlen und die Prognosen für die nächsten Wahlen? Ich bin nicht auf Deutschland, höre aber zwischendurch besorgniserregende Szenarien, eann die afd in fiesem oder jenem Bundesland eine relative bis hin zu absoluter Mehrheit in Parlamenten diverser Grössen erreichen könnte. Was ist da dran?

[–] beq@sh.itjust.works 1 points 1 year ago

This is no better than mercator projection for maps, hated by all and every cartographer who isn’t a navigator. You are my friend, now.

[–] beq@sh.itjust.works 1 points 1 year ago

Correct, you have the highest probability of picking an individual from the biggest minority.

[–] beq@sh.itjust.works 1 points 1 year ago

"you might also like this" I bet has a great background story

[–] beq@sh.itjust.works 1 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Beside the point, but maybe still worthmentioning: if the "majority" is in truth just another minority, but the biggest one, with, say, 15% of the population, and therefore by default calls itself the majority, you're still more likely to pick an individual of one of the 24 other minorities. What you're unlikely to do, is to pick an individual of a specific minority, no matter which one. The "least unlikely" is an individual of said "majority", because it's the biggest minority. It's still relatively unlikely, though, and likelier to pick an individual of some other minority, just not any specific one.