[-] unautrenom@jlai.lu 7 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

J'imagine que le premier ministre est debordé et n'a pas le temps de se charger de toute la com' et que c'est pas son coeur de metier? C'est la même raison que pour les grosses entreprises qui ont un departement relations presse/public.

[-] unautrenom@jlai.lu 2 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

Culture wise? Probably. Institution wise though...?

Our current republic was founded by de Gaule, and our constitution was written by him as well. The thing, he's a millitary general, who (much like a good chunk of the French population at the time) held disdain toward parlementarism, due to the lack of stability of the Fourth Republic.

What that means? Our current system has much of the power concentrated in the hands of the gov (see 49.3 and to some extend 47.1 where the PM can just decide to override anu vote on law. It was something taboo, only used a fair few times before Macron, like once in 2014(?) and it ruined the PM (at the time Manuel Vals)'s carrier. Macron used it dozens of times throughout his years as President), leaving the National assembly with little manuveur than the censor motion (dissolves the current gov, but leaves the president in power).

That and Macron preparing to sell our public media and hospital to the private certainly don't give me mich confidence in that regards if the RN were to win (' •_•)

[-] unautrenom@jlai.lu 5 points 3 days ago

From what I understand, he was hoping for :

  1. Destroy the incoming alliance between our two Far Rights parties (that worked)
  2. That the trad right party would implode (that worked)
  3. That the left would self-combust like always (that did NOT happen)

And that he would thus be the 'only credible choice' against Far Right. (Note that in the last legislative elections, he was NOT given a majority in the National assembly so that he'd have to negotiate with other parties, which he refused to do anyway, except maybe with the small trad right wing party).

Obviously, that didn't work out. As other in the French subs have pointed out, he's an ex-banker. He's used to making risky bets. But now's first time where he has to assume the consequence if he looses it.

[-] unautrenom@jlai.lu 16 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

(Here we go again)

First things first, shame on you Politico for showing outdated projection results. The actual outcome has been published now (after big cities' votes, including Paris, have been counted) and Far Right lost 5% (they're now polling at 29.2%), barely ahead of the Left Alliance (28%). That's both lower than the polls (which were giving her a whoping 37%), and their result in the last presidential elections.

Edit: source: https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/legislatives2024/ensemble_geographique/index.html

Secondly, seat projections, right now are highly unstable due to our two turns system. RN (Far Right) might have some allies from the trad right wing parry who was utterly destroyed, but both the NFP (Left Alliance) and Macron's Renaissance* have said their candidates need to desist when they're third and Far Right is first to try to cumulate their votes.

*Macron's PM Gabriel Attal has, for the moment, said there might be exceptions to that rule for the candidates of the radical left party France Unbowed which they consider to be be 'too extreme' for their taste so we'll see.

(Also, slight reminder that Politico is a property of Alex Kreuger, the German equivalent of Rupert Mudrock. Don't expect full neutrality.)

[-] unautrenom@jlai.lu 3 points 4 days ago

The vote finished in the night and we got the official results now. Paris voted massively NFP and Renaissance, so Far Right is now at 29.3% while NFP is just behind them at 28.0%. Honestly? Given the polls we had, RN is lower than anyone could have hoped.

Source: https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/legislatives2024/ensemble_geographique/index.html

I'm kind of surprised this image of France having a Far Right issue is only becoming a thing now though. These results are close (if not better for non far right voters) than the last 2022 Presidentals, and Far Right already had a huge score in 2017.

[-] unautrenom@jlai.lu 29 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

34% is already lower than what they polled (and it will go down more as cities' vote get counted). Though, you are right, the normalization of Far Right IS scary af. But it's not a recent thing in France, it started nearly two decades ago, but surged to an extreme during the past few years esp with:

  • Bolloré (our own personal Murdock) bought more and more media, fired the journalists, and put propagandist in their place.

  • Macron started taking Far Right's talking points (immigration), language ('national preference', which is a concept that makes no sense) and methods (just two days ago, his party made, published and propagated on social media a fake 'NUPES' (name of the last Left Alliance) website to calculate one's future pension based on their 'program'. As it turns out, the calculations were not based off their program at all and was nearly always defavorable to the person)

  • Macron, when asked about the surge of Far Right, had only one response: bUt WhAt aBoUt tHe LeFt? (And goes on and on to try and sell a 'both sides' to try and make himself more popular. Spoilers: it didn't work) It's also why it's refreshingly suprirsing to not hear him bash 'theLleft' tonight, and instead call on everyone to vote against Far Right.

[-] unautrenom@jlai.lu 62 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

Gee, the title sure is sensationalist. Nothing has been 'won' yet. The actual percentage here don't matter, the system works using two rounds in each circonscription (subdiv of France which can elect 1 MP). What really matters now is who will call to vote for who. The NFP (Left Alliance) leaders said no vote for Far Right, and Macron (in spite of how much he shat on the left) called for a 'grand coalition against the RN' (RN being Far Right here).

And I'll repeat it as many times as it takes 34% IS FAR FROM 50% (The RN is unlikely to find allies, as all the traitors of the trad right wing party have already gone to them)

Edit: forgot to mention that not all votes have been counted yet, the big cities finishing up later, which will likely drive the NFP's score up and RN's down.

[-] unautrenom@jlai.lu 8 points 5 days ago

Eh, j'la connais celle la ! J'ai reçu une lettre similaire il y a une semaine du candidat Ensemble de ma circo (avec mon nom écrit au stylot et tout). Sauf que le candidat NFP en face n'est même pas LFI donc son message sur "JLM premier ministre bouh !" marchait quand même beaucoup moins bien ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

[-] unautrenom@jlai.lu 35 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

Well, it's a risky move. Especially since just tonight, Far Right won by a landslide in the EU Parliement elections, so it's likely the results will play against him.

Many of us (in the french subs) think it might be an attempt on his part to get far right into power through the parliment to show electors that all they spout is bull, and make them to suffer hard losses in the 2027 presidential elections.

Edit: some news drop and he apparently believes he can make big wins in this one. We'll see if this bet will pay off, but personally, I sincerly doubt it will ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

[-] unautrenom@jlai.lu 28 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

His party lost hard in the EU Parliement elections tonight. The last legislative elections in France were a few years ago, and this is the one he's calling for right now.

[-] unautrenom@jlai.lu 61 points 3 weeks ago

Not PM, president. It's part of the constitution to be able to dissolve the National Assembly.

[-] unautrenom@jlai.lu 59 points 1 month ago

Remeber when Microsoft banned some Xbox players for screenshots they took in singleplayer, local games? Because it turns out all screenshots were uploaded to the cloud without properly informing users?

Naaah... no way they're going to do that again.

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unautrenom

joined 1 year ago