this post was submitted on 06 Aug 2024
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Things are about to take a hard turn away from the US with Turkey. Perhaps this is the start of Turkey not just saying rhetoric, but actions. They themselves seem tired of playing coy to the whole Greater isntrael project themselves.

In Friedman's Next 100 Years, it is set for Turkey and Japan to ally against America. Turkey will become a major regional power in the ME and isntrael will have a diminished status.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Next_100_Years:_A_Forecast_for_the_21st_Century

In the 2020s and 2030s, three main powers will emerge in Eurasia: Turkey, Poland, and Japan. Initially supported by the United States, Turkey will expand its sphere of influence and become a regional power, much as it was during the time of the Ottoman Empire. The Turkish sphere of influence will extend into the Arab world, which will have increasingly fragmented by then, and north into Russia and other former Soviet countries. Israel will continue to be a powerful nation and will be the only country in the immediate region to remain outside the Turkish sphere of influence. However, Israel will be forced to come to an accommodation with Turkey due to Turkey's military and political power.

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[–] pooh@hexbear.net 15 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (2 children)

From that wikipedia article:

In the early 2020s, the New Cold War will end when the economic strain and political pressure on Russia, coupled with Russia's declining population, and poor infrastructure, cause the federal government of Russia to completely collapse, much like the dissolution of the Soviet Union. Other former Soviet countries will fragment as well.

Around this time, China will politically and culturally fragment as well. The book asserts that the rapid economic development of China since 1980 will cause internal pressures and inequalities in Chinese society. Regional tension in mainland China will grow between the prosperous coastal regions and the impoverished interior regions. Friedman gives two possible scenarios: that the Chinese central government will expel outside interests and rule with an iron fist to keep the country together, or that China will fragment, with the central government gradually losing much of its real power and the provinces becoming increasingly autonomous. He works on the assumption that fragmentation is the most likely scenario.

In the 2020s, the collapse of the Russian government and the fragmentation of mainland China will leave Eurasia in general chaos. Other powers will then move in to annex or establish spheres of influence in the area, and in many cases, regional leaders will secede. In Russia, North Caucasus and other Muslim regions, as well as the Pacific Far East will become independent, Finland will annex Karelia, Romania will annex Moldova, Tibet will gain independence with help from India, Taiwan will extend its influence into mainland China, while the United States, European powers, and Japan will re-create regional spheres of influence in mainland China.

AHAHAHAHAHAHAAAAA I'm sorry, but this guy's predictions are totally ridiculous. He's already way off base with China and Russia stuff, and the idea we'll suddenly revert back to pre-WWI and II where everyone is annexing everyone else is also silly. Poland as a regional power? LOL. I hope this comment isn't coming off as rude or something, I just... wat. what-the-hell

[–] SkingradGuard@hexbear.net 10 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

recreate regional spheres of influence in mainland China

Lmao fuck these imperialists. Disgusting behavior to salivate over re-colonizing a nation just because you don't like the ideology of their government. Filth.

[–] ChaosMaterialist@hexbear.net 5 points 3 months ago

He is an economist writing in a time when economists thought China would "Liberalize" out of it's "Socialist Phase" and embrace good ol' American ~~Influence~~ Democracy.

The book asserts that the rapid economic development of China since 1980 will cause internal pressures and inequalities in Chinese society. Regional tension in mainland China will grow between the prosperous coastal regions and the impoverished interior regions.

Swap China for the US and it's a good prediction. They're "predictions" are always :projection: