this post was submitted on 19 Aug 2024
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Astrophotography

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[–] Gowozilla@lemmy.blahaj.zone 17 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Soon like tomorrow or soon like 1000 years?

[–] LostXOR@fedia.io 27 points 1 month ago (3 children)

Soon as in probably within the next month.

[–] Thteven@lemmy.world 14 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

Also soon as in 3000 years ago.

[–] hswolf@lemmy.world 8 points 1 month ago

both? both! both correct

[–] peopleproblems@lemmy.world 1 points 1 month ago

It should happen about 35-40 times in the next 3000 years.

[–] BestBouclettes@jlai.lu 3 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Do you know how we know it's about to go nova ? Is it because we noticed increased activity or is there something else ?

[–] peopleproblems@lemmy.world 10 points 1 month ago

It follows an ~80 year pattern, with significant changes in luminosity. The change that occurs immediately before the nova is currently underway. Based on historical records, and far more accurate telescopes we could measure it months in advance. It's pretty cool.

There are a lot of telescopes watching it 24/7 right now, and as I understand it, several of the most powerful have time reserved to immediately watch it as soon as it is detected.

This will be a huge leap in observation of nova. Astronomers don't fuck around with this sort of event, that's how well this is predicted.