this post was submitted on 19 Aug 2024
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I was mining and missed on a 98% chance yesterday. I think even a couple of times during a leve quest.
And while statistically possible, I don’t think it should happen as much as it does.
I guess in computers there really isn’t a really great way to make things totally random. But for our purposes things shouldn’t be weighted in any way, but it feels like it is.
It's like anything I suppose, we're predisposed to focus on the bad outcomes so they're the ones that stick out in our memory. I'm sure I've probably had plenty of examples of going 4/4 on a 40% chance as well.