this post was submitted on 26 Aug 2024
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The Kerch Strait Bridge is still open, as is the land bridge, so while it probably limits capacity and increases overhead, I imagine that Russia can use rail and road to move some amount of fuel. But I imagine that it's a constraint logistically.
That being said, last time Ukraine hit the Kerch Strait Bridge, part of the damage was caused by the heat from burning fuel cars, as the detonation was touched off right when a fuel train was rolling over the thing:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Crimean_Bridge_explosion
I don't know if Russia stopped permitting trains to transport fuel across the bridge at that point to avoid a repeat or not, and that's why ferries had been being used to move fuel-laden rolling stock. If so, I'd assume that they're going to need to change that policy.
EDIT: Sorry, missed the point in the article talking about this; this is specifically addressed:
With ferries and heavy rail over the Kerch Strait Bridge unlikely, it seems Russia is left with the new rail line being built through lower Ukraine (don't know if its finished yet) and/or trucks across the bridge (not sure the volume it can accommodate). Seems like Crimean logistics are going to be constrained in the short term.
That confirms what I heard some time ago, that the bridge cannot be used for heavy traffic, even after the repairs.
Something about the concrete going brittle from the heat of the burning train.