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Linux smashes another market share record for August 2024 on Statcounter
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What happened around '20?
I'm asking that because, the way that I'm reading this graph, there's a plateau between '15 and '20, and then a slope upwards.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steam_Deck ?
Perhaps. The timing fits considerably better than the other alternatives mentioned until now.
...covid?
I don't think that it's due to COVID, as it's an upwards slope instead of just a spike, or spike + plateau.
Covid was a time when many people had their eyes opened to big tech not having good intentions. I wouldn't be surprised if covid did make a difference. It was a free option and people often had extra time on their hands to tinker. Lots of people changed jobs after as well. None of those mean there would have been a spike necessarily, but may contribute to an increase in adoption rate.
I don't rule out the possibility that COVID made some people think further on how they interact with software, and that indirectly promoted some Linux usage. However, I don't think that it would create continuous pressure encouraging adoption, that keeps going on four years later.
Another reason why I don't think that COVID is the cause is the timing: the "bulk" of the social impact happened in early 2020, but the slope seems to start near the end of 2020, almost early 2021.
I had extra time during the pandemic and used some of it to permanently migrate to Linux.
Maybe that LTT linux challenge?
I think it's a combination of factors:
Windows 10 and 11 happened
Edit: Also around 2017 DXVK happened bringing high end gaming to Linux