this post was submitted on 01 Sep 2024
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I dabble a little (3D printers, composites). I'm thinking more about 30-100 years for actually living on moon or mars like a real self sufficient colony instead of missions.
I do believe mechanical engineering can be represented in a way that is accessible to AI. It doesn't need general knowledge or sentience. Not just the generative stuff we have now in CAD, but more like the AI that can generate images. Ways to generate infinitely complex "nonsense" machines isn't hard, but AI can then learn of how to work more intuitive.
At some point we'll have an AI that can design, supervise manufacture / CNC and robots to assemble and then control all the machines we need for this. Of course the design would have lots of human input at start. But robotics are improving and deep AI is able to do remarkable things already. Eventually we would feed all the existing CAD designs and function and physical laws and material science into an AI as a lot of data and then suddenly you can bootstrap an entire industrial society fully automated. But every step and progress towards that goal would make it that much cheaper and easier to do.
Of course that's sci-fi but so is the idea of living on mars :)