this post was submitted on 20 Sep 2024
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From The Brutalist to Conclave: what is the state of this year’s Oscar race? (www.theguardian.com)
submitted 1 month ago by Emperor@feddit.uk to c/movies@lemm.ee
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Without a cinema-shuttering pandemic or a production-pausing strike in the way, this year’s fall festival season should have felt like a grand return to normal. There were Oscar winners in the mix – Nicole Kidman, Angelina Jolie, Adrien Brody, Ron Howard, Joaquin Phoenix – as well as a host of major biopics and adaptations, making for a robust, awards-friendly lineup on paper.

But with Venice, Telluride and Toronto now out of the way, the Oscar race is far less certain than it usually is at this stage, without a clear Oppenheimer or Everything Everywhere All at Once to bet on.

...

After Sundance, the release of big-budget sequel Dune: Part Two saw even stronger reviews than the first (92% vs 83%), which suggested it will probably at least repeat the original’s success at the Oscars, if not outdo it. (Part One picked up six Oscars and was nominated for four others.)

...

Seven safe-ish nominee bets

  • Ralph Fiennes – best actor, Conclave
  • Mikey Madison – best actress, Anora
  • Zoe Saldana – best supporting actress, Emilia Pérez
  • Brady Corbet – best director, The Brutalist
  • Danielle Deadwyler – best supporting actress, The Piano Lesson
  • Angelina Jolie – best actress, Maria
  • Kieran Culkin – best supporting actor, A Real Pain

Anything stand out for you?

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