this post was submitted on 26 Sep 2024
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The 294-meter Flying Fish 1 traveled from St. Petersburg to Shanghai in just over three weeks, cutting two weeks off the traditional route via the Suez Canal.

This marks a major milestone for Arctic shipping, with nearly 20 transits expected this year, connecting Russian and Chinese ports through the Northern Sea Route.

The ship, operated by EZ Safetrans Logistics, maintained a steady speed without icebreaker assistance, highlighting how much Arctic conditions have changed.

This news may seem mundane but actually it's pretty historic. Russia and China now have a huge logistical and competitive economic advantage. This transit corridor is only going to grow in throughput volume in coming years. And most importantly it cannot be (easily) blocked by the Western imperialists like the southern straits and canals can.

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[–] Xiisadaddy@lemmygrad.ml 7 points 6 days ago (6 children)

Ya i wouldnt be so sure it cant be blocked. The US is turning Alaska into a fortress for exactly this reason. War in the arctic is likely within 10 years maybe less.

[–] KrasnaiaZvezda@lemmygrad.ml 6 points 6 days ago (5 children)

Ya i wouldnt be so sure it cant be blocked.

It can be blocked but only by force and the only countries that can do this are the US itself, the baltics, the scandinavian countries, occupied Korea or Japan, neither of which could attack Russia/China without a high likelyhood of getting nuked in return. Meanwhile, the Suez can be closed and there is nothing Russia or China could do (other than going around or making more trains).

[–] MarxMadness@lemmygrad.ml 5 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago) (1 children)

You're right that interrupting shipping along this route would be much harder than closing the Suez, but the U.S. still has carriers and submarines, so it could act alone without any of those nearby countries you mentioned.

In my mind, the big shift here is (1) cost and (2) forcing a longer route now means you have to shoot at boats, you can't just refuse them entry to a canal. It would mean a much larger escalation.

[–] KrasnaiaZvezda@lemmygrad.ml 3 points 5 days ago

As long as it's not blocking Russian ships from the Black Sea the US can do anything and not much would come out of it straight away. Some countries would try to become independend of the canals but that would likely not lead to war.

On the other hand, the US literally shooting at Russian or Chinese ships would be a declaration of war that would require an immediate response of those attacked else it would just escalate to them losing more ships and probably even their ports and coastal infraestructure/cities being targeted soon as well.

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