this post was submitted on 21 Oct 2024
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Good news is that relations between India and the US are in the gutter right now, also likely why de-escalation is happening in the first place. If India isn't going to bend the knee then they need BRICS which means making nice with China. I suspect economic pragmatism will win in the end.
As much as I would like to say that it will, I am not really hopeful in this regard. I'm Indian so I know many Indians. I can tell you that sinophobia and islamophobia has become a huge problem. A racist bourgeoisie ruled government should never be thought of as a reliable long-term partner. It is only a matter of time before they pull something stupid.
They are not a reliable partner because India is being pragmatic, as in they are acting in their own interests. They are only reliable while it is in their interests; if the situation changes that it becomes less beneficial to India then they will certainly turn on China. Obviously their long-term partnership is not something to gamble on.
I'm cautiously optimistic here, but you're right things can turn ugly very easily.