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Five drivers are still in contention with five rounds to go (sh.itjust.works)

submitted 10 months ago by alphacyberranger@sh.itjust.works to c/formula1@lemmy.world

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[–] Hazzard@lemm.ee 2 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

Very much still Max's to lose. Like... 57 points? If he DNF'd twice, absolutely, Lando could take it, but even if Lando and Oscar consistently 1-2'd, with fastest lap, the most McLaren could do, if Max places 3rd every weekend it's unwinnable without sprints (11pts a weekend, x5 weekends, 55 of 57 needed points advantage).

In reality, even a decent Max Verstappen can lock out this championship with ease. So long as Red Bull don't catastrophically tank his car for a few of these weekends.

[–] resetbypeer@lemmy.world 3 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

Mechanical DNFs can happen to anybody. Statistically Lando has a higher chance to DNF based of a mechanical issue, since he hasnt had one yet. But as the old racing saying goes: to finish first you have finish.

[–] superkret@feddit.org 5 points 10 months ago

Statistically Lando has a higher chance to DNF based of a mechanical issue, since he hasnt had one yet.

I don't think that's how statistics work.