this post was submitted on 28 Oct 2024
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Image is from this SCMP article.

Much of the analysis below is sourced from Michael Roberts' great website.


Japan's ruling parliamentary coalition, consisting of the LDP (purple) and it's junior coalition partner Komeito (in light pink) have lost their ruling majority. They have ruled post-war Japan for almost its entire history. The LDP is currently led by Shigeru Ishiba after Kishida stood down due to a corruption scandal, and ties to the Unification Church.

While geopolitical factors (over the cold war between the US and China, etc) may have played a role, by far the biggest reason for this result in the poor economic conditions over the past few years. Inflation has risen and real wages have fallen, with little relief for the working class via things like tax reductions. While inequality in Japan is not as extreme as in America, it is still profound, with the top 10% possessing 60% of the wealth, while the bottom 50% possess just 5%.

Shinzo Abe previously tried to boost economic performance through monetary easing and fiscal deficits, while Kishida ran on a "new capitalism" which rejected Abe's neoliberalism and promised to reduce inequality. Nothing substantial has resulted from all this, however, other than increasing corporate wealth. Innovation continues to fall, and domestic profitability is low, resulting in decreasing investment at home by Japanese corporations. Labour productivity growth has only slightly picked up since the mid-2000s and is falling again. The rate of profit has fallen by half since the 1960s, and Japan has been in a manufacturing recession - or very close to it - since late 2022. In essence: there is no choice but between stagnation or decline.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] plinky@hexbear.net 84 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

My hate for liberals burns like a sun:

[–] VILenin@hexbear.net 64 points 2 weeks ago

8 percent of WaPo subscribers have cancelled their subscription because Jeff Bezos refused to endorse Hitler 2, not because he has a conscience, but because he doesn’t think she’ll win.

[–] Melonius@hexbear.net 58 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

Are these real subscribers and not some elaborate laundering scheme thats getting wound down or scaled back? If I met a wapo subscriber irl I might die laughing

[–] plinky@hexbear.net 55 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

I mean i believe 2.5 million happy hogs pay bezos for their merica good, israel good, china bad, russia very bad, iran very bad coverage

(although they did do that series on sanctions, so thats something)

[–] PorkrollPosadist@hexbear.net 34 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

Another important thing to consider is that with the total bloodbath of local newspapers (driven in part by their reliance on ad revenue, and substantially by the social media monopolies sucking up most of that revenue stream), and consolidation of the remaining scraps, national publications like the NYT and WaPo have effectively filled the void. Very few people have any desire to subscribe to multiple newspapers, so outfits like these are well positioned to become the default. They are efffectively the Netflix of print news.

I would likely subscribe to WaPo before subscribing to the biggest regional paper in my area (where many of the articles are just syndicated from USA Today or Associated Press anyway). Good, class conscious, local reporting which isn't enmeshed in the local political machinery is an exceedingly rare thing in this country.

[–] plinky@hexbear.net 24 points 2 weeks ago

I mean if one were subscribe as a communist to big newspapers, there is only demonic, but honest, ft shrug-outta-hecks

bezos post still bleeds money, new york crimes is floating by game-ification for bored nerds

[–] VILenin@hexbear.net 30 points 2 weeks ago

Americans don’t buy newspaper subscriptions to read the news, they buy them as tokens of ideological alignment.

[–] someone@hexbear.net 23 points 2 weeks ago

Maybe there's institutional subscriptions that count as X number of users. I've seen that arrangement in some niche business publications.

[–] jackmarxist@hexbear.net 40 points 2 weeks ago

Endorsement as in they tell their readers to vote for Kamala instead of Trump? Isn't that against the whole "unbiased media thing?