this post was submitted on 06 Nov 2024
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While theoretically possible, I think it's a stretch to say that that represents a significant portion of the electorate that isn't already voting Republican. The only real evidence for that idea is that Clinton and Harris lost, and there are plenty of other explanations for their losses. If you make the claim that specific to where downballot races don't apply, then there just isn't enough data to make that a reliable conclusion. It also feels to me like it's just a talking point to absolve the Democrats of responsibility for running bad campaigns.
Btw with Nevada being called for Jacky Rosen, that makes three female senators winning in states Kamala lost, and there's Ruben Gallego, a Latino, who's ahead in Arizona.