this post was submitted on 13 Feb 2025
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[–] HowRu68@lemmy.world 4 points 5 hours ago

If there is a kind of US Gvment coupe going on, which so appears to me. And if there comes a peace plan according to the red ines which Trump & Putin have discussed; so No Nato for Ukraine, giving up (temporarily) the annexed territories, and (partial) withdrawal of US forces boots from the EU,

Then there will be a provisional 3OOO km Ukraine wall between east and West Ukraine, in need of min 30K (EU) military boots plus all additional ground, tech and air equipment. If this peace deal will be reached this year, EU will not be able to deliver this security guarantee unless they invoke some emergency (W)EU security article. If in the USA autocracy keeps growing, and dito in the R.F., with or without their current leaders; then we will have again a world war again, within 5 year, I fear. Also I believe that the P.P.P might d ecline with approxinate 20-30% world wide

Well this is the worse case scenario. But not unlikely, if circumstances don't change.

What can Europe do in 5 years? Cut partly, the welfare state and up defence to a minimum 5%. At least we'll have something to defend us with. We are being fucked as hell.