The way I understand it is the distant future part. Even if you calculate its orbit very well there's always a level of uncertainty that grows with time, news outlets never show the error bars.

[–] catloaf@lemm.ee 1 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

Uncertainty shrinks with time.

[–] the_tab_key@lemmy.world 4 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Uncertainty grows with increased extrapolated time, shrinks as time passes with updated measurements.

[–] quediuspayu@lemmy.world 0 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Only if you keep making measurements

[–] catloaf@lemm.ee 1 points 2 weeks ago

Which space monitoring agencies are sure to do.