this post was submitted on 07 Jul 2025
130 points (99.2% liked)

news

24173 readers
818 users here now

Welcome to c/news! Please read the Hexbear Code of Conduct and remember... we're all comrades here.

Rules:

-- PLEASE KEEP POST TITLES INFORMATIVE --

-- Overly editorialized titles, particularly if they link to opinion pieces, may get your post removed. --

-- All posts must include a link to their source. Screenshots are fine IF you include the link in the post body. --

-- If you are citing a twitter post as news please include not just the twitter.com in your links but also nitter.net (or another Nitter instance). There is also a Firefox extension that can redirect Twitter links to a Nitter instance: https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/libredirect/ or archive them as you would any other reactionary source using e.g. https://archive.today/ . Twitter screenshots still need to be sourced or they will be removed --

-- Mass tagging comm moderators across multiple posts like a broken markov chain bot will result in a comm ban--

-- Repeated consecutive posting of reactionary sources, fake news, misleading / outdated news, false alarms over ghoul deaths, and/or shitposts will result in a comm ban.--

-- Neglecting to use content warnings or NSFW when dealing with disturbing content will be removed until in compliance. Users who are consecutively reported due to failing to use content warnings or NSFW tags when commenting on or posting disturbing content will result in the user being banned. --

-- Using April 1st as an excuse to post fake headlines, like the resurrection of Kissinger while he is still fortunately dead, will result in the poster being thrown in the gamer gulag and be sentenced to play and beat trashy mobile games like 'Raid: Shadow Legends' in order to be rehabilitated back into general society. --

founded 5 years ago
MODERATORS
 

Image is of the Power of Siberia natural gas pipeline, which transports gas from Russia to China. This isn't an oil pipeline (such as the ESPO) but I thought it looked cool. Source here.


Trump has recently proposed a 500% tariff on goods from countries that trade with Russia, including India and China (who buy ~70% of Russia's oil output), as well as a 10% additional tariff on goods from countries that "align themselves with BRICS." Considering that China is the largest trading partner of most of the countries on the planet at this point, and India and Brazil are reasonably strong regional players, I'm not sure what exactly "alignment" means, but it could be pretty bad.

Sanctions and tariffs on Russian products have been difficult to achieve in practice. It's easy to write an order to sanction Russia, but much harder to actually enforce these sorts of things because of, for example, the Russian shadow oil fleet, or countries like Kazakhstan acting as covert middlemen (well, as covert as a very sudden oil export boom can be).

Considering that China was pretty soundly victorious last time around, I'm cautiously optimistic, especially because China and India just outright cutting off their supply of energy and fuel would be catastrophic to them (and if Iran and Israel go to war again any time in the near future, it'll only be more disastrous). Barring China and India kowtowing to Trump and copying Europe vis-a-vis Nordstream 2 (which isn't impossible, I suppose), the question is whether China and India will appear to accede to these commands while secretly continuing trade with Russia through middlemen, or if they will be more defiant in the face of American pressure.


Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[–] SexUnderSocialism@hexbear.net 69 points 4 days ago (8 children)

Source: Arnaud Bertrand / Twitter

This might be the most remarkable geopolitical document I've seen come out of a major European institution so far this century.

France’s Parliament has just produced an extraordinary 153-page report that calls for nothing less than a complete strategic realignment of Europe.

The document systematically dismantles the EU's current geopolitical positioning - "vassalized" to the U.S., in the report's words - as a catastrophic failure that has led to the EU seeing "its influence diminish and its interests poorly protected."

The report details 50 recommendations from the "creation of a common world currency" (recommendation #14) to dedollarize the global economy, to "replacing the EU's strategy in the Indo-Pacific region with a cooperative approach including China" (recommendation #11).

In general the report's central recommendation is that Europe break free from Atlantic subordination and instead achieve strategic autonomy by partnering with China.

This would mark a complete historical reversal - for the first time since the colonial era, the historical West choosing equal strategic partnership with a Global South nation as an alternative to Western alliance structures.

The report (which you can find here: https://assemblee-nationale.fr/dyn/17/rapports/due/l17b1588_rapport-information.pdf) is in French so I wrote a detailed article breaking down its most explosive findings and recommendations, an explaining why this could be its last chance to avoid irrelevance in a multipolar world.

[–] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 33 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (4 children)

Don’t have access to the paywall material, but anyone who can read French, can you summarize how exactly did they propose to resolve the following problems?

  1. That Europe and China are direct competitors and increasingly China has become a major and superior supplier in high end goods that used to be dominated by the Europeans
  2. The mercantilistic relationship between Europe and China as a consequence of Trump’s global tariffs, as China is being forced to dump their cheap goods into European markets and prompting the recent French finance minister’s call for trade barriers to prevent Chinese goods from killing European domestic industries
  3. Reduced competitiveness of European goods against their Chinese counterparts following the loss of cheap energy input from Russian suppliers

As you can see, nothing short of a complete overhaul of the neoliberal economic order can these fundamental contradictions be resolved. And if they are not proposing that, it’s not serious and should be treated like a fantasy novel.

[–] CarmineCatboy2@hexbear.net 27 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

Now I can't read french and I had little a hypothesis before going into this document. I was thinking of the EU-Mercosur trade agreement, and how it is the decades long clash of two immovable objects. Both trade zones are protectionist by nature. Certain segments in Mercosur don't want to import industrial european goods. Certain countries in Europe don't want to import Mercosur's agricultural goods.

But Mercosur has one advantage, in that once the trade agreement was concluded it only has to be ratified by the national parliaments of each member state. The agreement then is online for that country. So if Uruguay doesn't ratify, it doesn't matter to Argentina and Brazil. Europe is different. If four countries band together they can dash the whole thing. So you have an wrestling competition to see who loses the most or wins the least from opening trade, with European countries pressuring each other behind the scenes. France, Poland and Ireland are the permanent opposition. Italy is a potential fourth.

Question is: does France feel as strongly about Chinese imports? Doesn't seem like it.

I decided to ctrl-search the document for references to dumping and here's what I found (machine translated):

For Vincent Guérend and Benoît Guidée, respectively Director of the EU-MEAE and Asia and Oceania-MEAE, it's “important to bear in mind that in 2013, because of a European report questioning the Chinese photovoltaic industry (accusing it of selling at prices below their value), China took measures that had a devastating effect on the sector in Europe”. And indeed, the anti-dumping duties on Chinese solar panels have precipitated the launch by the Chinese authorities of anti-dumping investigations (1) on European wines, and French in particular, such as Cognac. Above all, they have not halted the decline of the European industry. Some observers, such as the trade association SolarPower Europe, consider that European protection measures have even contributed to slowing down the installation of solar panels in Europe: “Only five years ago, import duties were in place, resulting in a sharp decline in solar jobs, project investment and solar deployment, driving up the cost of photovoltaics for customers and consumers”.

Recommendation: Implement trade regulation instruments for goods deemed sensitive, combining targeted import quotas and minimum prices, in order to guarantee fair competition, industrial sovereignty and fair remuneration for the industries concerned.

More than 10 years later, in October 2024, China is still reacting to the countervailing measures decided by the European Commission with a series of anti-dumping (2) or anti-subsidy investigations against European imports of brandy, pork products and certain dairy products. These investigations have led to the imposition of provisional anti-dumping duties on imports of French Cognac and Armagnac. Whether or not these allegations are well-founded, and whether or not the EU is successfully contesting these measures at the WTO, it is French producers who are now paying the price for this trade policy.

On October 11, China imposed security deposits of up to 39% on European imports, almost exclusively targeting French products such as cognac, armagnac and calvados. One week earlier, on October 4 2024, the European Union, supported by France but with Germany abstaining, decided to impose provisional anti-dumping duties on Chinese electric vehicles, in the declared aim of protecting its automotive industry. France now understands that it will have to pay in cash for its vote in favor of sanctions against Chinese electric vehicles, whose export to the European market is a major issue for Chinese manufacturers.

Now this is a very limited reading of the document but it seems to me that France is just primarily concerned with being able to export agricultural and luxury goods to China and sees barring Chinese imports as deleterious to its industrial sector. Their solution to the contradictions of international trade seem to be a mixture of 'hey we are too polite to say that the Germans should get fucked' and 'let's negotiate trade quotas and price fixing for the next 10+ years to make sure everything is halal'.

In short, the French are still thinking in neoliberal terms. They just want to maximize gains for the economic sectors that finance them. It's fundamentally about doubling down on 'comparative advantages'.

Edit: two other things the report mention is that idea that negotiating trade quotas with China is a better remedy than constantly guarding against transshipment. It also considers negotiations with China important for issues of technological transfer.

load more comments (3 replies)
load more comments (6 replies)