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I never said Mamdani cannot win. The question you originally asked was:

if Zohran is elected do you believe he'll crack down on pro Palestinian protesters to the same extent as Adams or Cuomo?

I answered. I remind you that this is the position of a mayor, who will be responsible for keeping the city running while making sure it is operating under the budgetary constraints (not to mention having to pay off its billions of overhanging debt), so there are many ways to force the hand of the mayor to throw the pro-Palestinian cause under the bus when faced with hard choices. This is simply how the system of your own country works. The United States is not a Confederacy, my friend.

And I remind you that this is a city where much of its economic strength comes from Wall Street finance capital and the landlord class - both of whom have vested interest in introducing as much obstacles as possible to see him fail. Are you going to pretend that the city of Wall Street is simply going to let a socialist mayor do his thing without any resistance?

Taking out such virtual capital, NYC itself, as does most of the highest GDP cities in America, does not have the real economy that is strong enough to sustain the current nominal level of its economy. Don’t let the notion of the “greatest city in the world” cloud your vision. It has great culture, no doubt about it. But removed from its artificially boosted virtual capital, you will have to endure a rapidly deteriorating living standards. Even 50% of California’s tax revenue (the wealthiest state in the country) comes from capital gains tax (stocks and bonds), and that should tell you much about the structure of the American economy.

You seem to deny the possibility that a failed socialist mayor can also have detrimental impact for the rest of the left wing movements across the country.

This is a distinct possibility that you have to consider. I even provided the case that you need to have a strong organized mass movement to back him up in order to ward off the challenges coming from the establishment, but you continue to subscribe to the wishful thinking that he alone will be so powerful that the establishment won’t be able to do anything to curb his authority and his ability to deliver on his campaign promises.

Well, if he cannot deliver on his promises, he will be voted out or forced to resign.

Having said that, I am cautiously optimistic, but the lack of deeper analysis about what could happen post-election betrays a naive idealism and blind optimism. I hope Mamdani’s team and those that actually organize in the US understand that better than what I’ve seen here.