this post was submitted on 25 Sep 2023
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thanks for the input on the last post, next time i'll make an actually interpretable one in like a year or something, or next time reddit fucks up

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[–] themarty27@lemmy.sdf.org 11 points 1 year ago (4 children)

It's not possible to answer that precisely with the data available, but we can make an estimate.

43.3% of respondents are straight. 58.4% are cisgender. If we assume there's no correlation between being straight and being cis, then 43.3% of cis people will also be straight. That gives us 43.3% × 58.4% = 25.3% of respondents being both cis and straight. 25.3% of 950 is 240 people.

[–] newIdentity@sh.itjust.works 3 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

So uhh, just for fun I calculated it through with every branch of the tree and drew it. It's off by 00,01% so the total of everything combined is 99,99%

signal-2023-09-25-21-19-30-627

[–] newIdentity@sh.itjust.works 2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Just to clarify for others: "no correlation" means that they are not related to each other.

So we're calculating the probability of us picking a random person that is both cis and straight. This means the probability always stays the same since it doesnt depend on any other probability

[–] barsoap@lemm.ee 1 points 1 year ago

If we assume there’s no correlation between being straight and being cis

There's actually a ton of correlation between cis and straight while there's tons of correlation between trans and gay. In a nutshell identity and attraction are independent biological factors: There's proportionally about as many gay cis folks as there's straight trans folks, or differently speaking with trans folks the attraction follows the statistical distribution of the assigned-at-birth sex.

It's enbies and inter folks I think were all bets are off regarding attraction, would have to look at those studies again and please don't ask me where to find them I have no idea it's been a while.

Given that I'd ballpark cishets at about 40%, thereabouts.