While Michael's assertion of a 50% chance of winning the race seems logical from his subjective viewpoint of "winning or not winning", it's mathematically incorrect. In a race with five equally skilled runners, the probability of any one runner winning is 1/5, or 20%. Michael's simplification of the outcomes doesn't correctly calculate the probability and indicates a possible misunderstanding of how to calculate odds.

Yes, this was made with ChatGPT. No, I'm not fun at parties.

[–] vext01@lemmy.sdf.org 22 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (3 children)

But the question didn't say the drivers were equally skilled.

So the question cannot be answered!

Also not fun at parties...

[–] 0x4E4F@lemmy.rollenspiel.monster 5 points 1 year ago

You 2 should hang out with me more often.

[–] JustAManOnAToilet@lemmy.world 3 points 1 year ago

We're onto drivers now? Well that's easy, which one is driving a Red Bull?

[–] Sphks@lemmy.dbzer0.com 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Also if they are equally skilled, his chances of winning is 0% since it will be a draw.

[–] vext01@lemmy.sdf.org 3 points 1 year ago

One assumes some non-determinism due to stochastic events in the racing environment.