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That is just it. If we are saying we can't make educated guesses based on situations and trends then we also cannot make any claims that musk's tesla was a net good.
But once we look at the past decade or so: We see hybrids pretty much universally get shit on for "not being worth it" and "a step in the wrong direction". Which... there are merits to those arguments. But they are still better than pure ICE vehicles.
I did not see hybrids universally get shit on. I do know one person with that opinion, but I wouldn't call him universal and I don't put much stock in his opinions anyhow, he had had more weird takes before he spouted that one.