this post was submitted on 17 Jun 2024
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[–] tal 5 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (16 children)

Despite a low unemployment rate and slowing inflation, many Americans believe the economy isn't doing well because food and gas prices are still high.

Well, the government isn't gonna induce deflation. Wages may rise, and a low unemployment rate contributes to that, so the price may fall relative to your purchasing power, but in absolute terms, the prices are where they are.

"The real wages are increasing much faster than the inflation rate, which is very steady," said Kishore Kulkarni, an economist with Metropolitan State University in Denver. "And therefore, the real wages are in fact increasing, but people are not feeling it because there is so much negativism outside."

And there you are.

[–] echutaa@programming.dev 9 points 4 months ago (1 children)

So I spent some time looking into this wage increase stuff and I did find this fun chart with inflation adjusted wages growing 2% in the last 5 years, that’s pretty paltry compared to the corporate profit increases. I’d bet that power imbalance is a large factor in consumer sentiment falling against otherwise good looking economic data.

[–] mozz@mbin.grits.dev 2 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago)

We’re in a weird economic time right now where the median is actually misleading.

Wages at the bottom are going up hugely (beating inflation by 12 percentage points). Wages at the middle (median) are pretty much unchanged as you noted. Wages at the top are falling behind inflation. I.e. inequality is going down for the first time in God knows how long.

I talk about it elsewhere in the thread and link to a couple articles, but the short answer is that you’re not wrong but median real wages aren’t the whole picture right now.

And yes corporate profits are a huge problem. There was a huge corporate tax increase in 2023 that funded some of the stuff the led to the 12% wage increase at the bottom end, but it’s nowhere near enough.

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