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this post was submitted on 17 Jun 2024
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SneerClub
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Hurling ordure at the TREACLES, especially those closely related to LessWrong.
Posts or links discussing our very good friends should have "NSFW" ticked (Nice Sneers For Winners).
AI-Industrial-Complex grift is fine as long as it sufficiently relates to the AI doom from our very good friends.
This is sneer club, not debate club. Unless it's amusing debate.
[Especially don't debate the race scientists, if any sneak in - we ban and delete them as unsuitable for the server.]
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I love how you can see people rushing in to buy the prediction right after the correction happened and before the author called it. This system is very secure totally.
This is going to happen in any prediction market whose events are opened and closed manually. Unless you can automatically halt trading when the condition is met (this is probably what people call an "AI-complete" problem), there will always be people who notice the condition is met before the event runner. The unfair trades will certainly be reversed if this is a prediction market worth even a little bit of its salt.