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this post was submitted on 28 Jun 2024
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Was that 12 points swinging towards Trump as the debate winner or was that people changing their vote? Because those are very different things. I would be surprised if it were the latter.
The debate winner. And yeah it's different but also telling when Biden has won easily every other time.
I really don't think that it's telling at all. I have a very difficult time believing someone would suddenly consider a dictator over the possibility of Kamala Harris stepping in like they hadn't already.
It's worth remembering that our elections are generally very close. It doesn't take a ton of people in a battle state to change their minds.
Sure, but there's also a lot of time between now an November.
That is also true. Another breakpoint coming up is Trump's sentencing. Apparently focus groups report they're less likely to vote for him if he gets a sentence including a jail or prison term.
There's also that documentary which may or may not come out about Trump being racist during The Apprentice. We'll see if that has an effect.