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The guesses that she’ll perform poorly are based on the 2016 primary where she wasn’t unlikeable as much as she was bland and forgettable. She’s just a blank slate now people can project what they want onto her.
I still don’t think she has a good shot and that Whitmer or Newsom would have it. I’ll be surprised by her alleged likability when I see it.
Edit: tbf I do know some suburban wine mom/aunt libs who love her. So clearly there’s a demographic there. Problem is that it’s very similar to Hillary’s. I don’t know if that’ll be enough to push her over the edge.
Having the first female/non-white president is probably going to be the card they play. Will probably play up her being half-black more than half-Indian and make comparisons to Obama.