While Mr. Biden and his team publicly insist that he is staying in the race, privately people close to him have said that he is increasingly accepting that he may not be able to, and some have begun discussing dates and venues for a possible announcement that he is stepping aside.

One factor that may stretch out a decision: Advisers believe that Mr. Biden would not want to do it before Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel visits Washington on Wednesday at the initiative of Republicans to address Congress, unwilling to give the premier the satisfaction given their strained relations lately over the Gaza war.

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[–] futatorius@lemm.ee 2 points 3 months ago

I'm going to set up a bet on whether Trump or Biden dies first. My money's on Trump.

I'd also lay some heavy odds on Trump getting a dementia diagnosis before Biden, but that outcome can be biased by extreme likelihood that Trump's camp would just lie about it.