this post was submitted on 22 Oct 2024
233 points (93.0% liked)

United States | News & Politics

7183 readers
444 users here now

founded 4 years ago
MODERATORS
 

A new poll suggests that Green Party presidential candidate Jill Stein is drawing more voters from former President Donald Trump than from Vice President Kamala Harris.

According to a Noble Predictive Insights survey released last week, Harris holds a narrow lead over Trump in a hypothetical three-way race. With Stein on the ballot, Harris' lead expands, pointing to a potential spoiler effect similar to what many Democrats blamed Stein for doing to Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election.

For Trump, the emergence of Stein as a potential spoiler may be a critical factor in battleground states, where even a small shift in votes could determine the outcome. For Harris, Stein's candidacy could paradoxically provide an unexpected advantage, drawing votes from Trump and narrowing his pathway to victory.

top 50 comments
sorted by: hot top controversial new old
[–] FlashMobOfOne@lemmy.world 8 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

It doesn't matter.

If Kamala loses, they'll blame us. If Trump loses, they'll blame us. It's more convenient to use the 3rd party excuse than to acknowledge that the ruling parties, through the effects of their governance, have convinced tens of millions of voters that missing a badly-needed day's pay isn't worth taking the time to vote.

[–] ShinkanTrain@lemmy.ml 16 points 2 days ago (1 children)

You heard'em, start campaigning for Stein if you want Kamala to win.

[–] geneva_convenience@lemmy.ml 9 points 2 days ago

A vote for Stein is a vote for Kamala!

[–] pjwestin@lemmy.world 36 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Democrats will still blame Stein if they lose, and even though their explicit strategy is to pick off disaffected Republicans, they'll never blame Chase Oliver. It's just like in 2016, when Hillary used the exact same strategy, and they blamed Stein, even though Gary Johnson took home a much higher percentage of the vote in most swing states. They don't care about spoiler candidates; they just want to punch left, especially when they need a scapegoat for a loss.

[–] Objection@lemmy.ml 13 points 2 days ago (2 children)

What's wild to me is that they actually put out attack ads targeting the Green party, which tells me they're believing their own propaganda.

[–] Grapho@lemmy.ml 2 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Because democrats are deathly afraid of any mildly progressive party getting funding and being on the ballot nationwide, because then their entire blackmail scheme falls apart. You can't go "you fucking better vote for us, or else" anymore.

The democratic party has been suing to take PSL and the Greens off ballots in multiple states (which also serves to cut into their budget, which is almost entirely small contributions). That's the party trying to save democracy apparently.

[–] NauticalNoodle@lemmy.ml 6 points 2 days ago

Many Democrat voters do believe the propaganda, and I imagine it largely keeps them in line so they don't start looking elsewhere. I've heard multiple Democrat voting family members and friends specifically state this year that they think "The Green party only exists to siphon off Democrat votes" It's not just bots. Media is saying it because astroturfing works, unfortunately.

[–] Grapho@lemmy.ml 8 points 2 days ago

This. As long as they have a base big and dumb enough to buy any and every excuse to go further right (and blame progressives for it), they'll keep doing it.

[–] pregnantwithrage@lemmy.world 28 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

Without looking at any statistics or polling, I think the spoiler effect is not as prominent and is over stated for one reason.

If I'm going out of my way to not vote for the Democrats or Republicans and voting third party that would mean that I dislike my options so much that I'm giving a fuck you to the two party system.

What people can gather from this is if you said there was only two options I would just sit out and therefore it wasn't going to affect either candidate regardless.

I'm open to be convinced otherwise but I think candidates blaming spoilers should look at the electoral college and themselves when every 4 years they are ready to blame single digit candidates for their losses.

[–] PresidentCamacho@lemm.ee 12 points 2 days ago (4 children)

It sounds like your interpretation of the spoiler effect centers on people voting third party due to dissatisfaction with the 2 unfortunately omnipresent parties, which would be the same as not voting. Have you considered that some people who were going to vote no matter what might vote for a third party candidate because their listed policies actually resonate with them?

[–] pregnantwithrage@lemmy.world 2 points 1 day ago (1 children)

I would agree with you maybe 10 years ago but I think that the empire being in such decline and leading us to the worst candidates back to back to back it's really hard for me to believe that third parties are to blame for the spoiler effect. Taking third parties off the ballot most likely wouldn't have the effect that people put on them because everyone has an opinion on the two candidates more than ever.

[–] PresidentCamacho@lemm.ee 1 points 1 day ago

There is nothing to agree or disagree with here, I gave no opinion on spoiler effect, I explained 2 potential reasons why someone might vote third party.

load more comments (3 replies)
[–] orcrist@lemm.ee 31 points 3 days ago (16 children)

Do you think all of those people who have been saying that third-party voters are going to destroy the US will be apologizing in the comment section here?

[–] Spacehooks@reddthat.com 2 points 1 day ago

Sure i'll start. If this is true, I was wrong. I couldn't believe a republican to not fall in line with the party even if the put a party clown up. Good job proving me wrong and saving America.

[–] Flocklesscrow@lemm.ee 21 points 3 days ago (2 children)

First past the post is a terrible design. Let's rank choice and move on.

lol, pie in the sky right?

[–] OurToothbrush@lemmy.ml 2 points 1 day ago

It is literally more likely for a socialist revolution to happen in the US than for us to use STV enough to choose the president that way.

[–] UltraGiGaGigantic@lemmy.ml 1 points 1 day ago

But democrats believe in democracy!

load more comments (14 replies)
[–] josie@vegantheoryclub.org 24 points 3 days ago

Dem mental gymnastics are going into overdrive rn

[–] bigkahuna1986@lemmy.ml 117 points 3 days ago (4 children)

I won't believe a single poll until this election is over. There is so much incentive for misinformation out there it is unbearable. Just get out and vote.

load more comments (4 replies)
[–] Alsephina@lemmy.ml 48 points 3 days ago (15 children)

Libs will still blame leftists like blue maga wants them to.

load more comments (15 replies)
load more comments
view more: next ›