this post was submitted on 19 Feb 2024
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Image is of Jakarta, the capital of Indonesia and the fastest sinking city in the world. A new capital is being built elsewhere in Indonesia.


I was going to make Indonesia the COTW anyway (unless something really massive happened somewhere else) due to the elections that might really designate the end of an era in Indonesian politics. Michael Roberts wrote up a big piece on Indonesia about a week ago, one day before the election began, so a lot of this information is coming from him.


Indonesia has been ruled by President Joko Widodo for 10 years, but is now barred from a third term constitutionally. Under his presidency, the Indonesian economy has seen fairly good GDP growth overall - about 5% per year, or an average of 4% per capita - and is broadly popular with the electorate. The biggest problems are the common ones, such as a lack of jobs and a high cost of living. Widodo's successors have naturally promised more jobs and an economic plan that clearly draws at least some inspiration from China's rise from the periphery to the heights of the world economy and manufacturing, but this seems pretty unlikely for Indonesia because, well, Indonesia is ruled by capitalist bourgeoisie parties and China is not. Indonesia's main gigs are palm oil, nickel ore, and oil, with internal manufacturing of these primary commodities only slowly growing and reliant on foreign labour.

Indonesia has a rather big employment problem. On the face of it, things don't seem bad, with an unemployment rate of only 5% - but this is only because it counts anybody who works even a couple hours per week. 60% of the workers in Indonesia are in the informal sector, with no real labour rights, sick pay, or guaranteed wages. And half of the ~8 million unemployed are young people. Indonesia is the sixth most unequal country on the planet, with at least 36% of the population in poverty, and the four richest men own as much as the bottom 100 million. This was a natural consequence of the policies of the dictator Suharto, who came to power in a coup overthrowing the communist nationalist leader Sukarno and killing one million communists, a period covered by Bevin's The Jakarta Method. At a fundamental level, not that much has changed since Suharto, and the country seems doomed to a path of slowing economic growth and massive amounts of environmental degradation under a plundering elite who will presumably fly off to New Zealand with the rest of them once the seas swallow the country, unless a communist movement can be rebuilt from ashes and can learn the lessons of 1965-66.

Though results have yet to be officially announced, it seems that 72-year-old Prabowo Subianto is overwhelmingly likely to have handily won the election. Once banned from the United States for human rights violations - a truly phenomenal feat - he has been the Minister of Defense since 2019, was an army lieutenant under Suharto and was his son-in-law. While this is obviously a particularly bad outcome, none of the other candidates seemed likely to fundamentally alter the trajectory of Indonesia, so the game was rigged from the start.


The Country of the Week is Indonesia! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 28 points 9 months ago

G20 Meeting Discusses Global Governance Reforms

"The current global governance institutions are not equipped to deal with the tensions we are facing," said Brazilian FM Vieira.

On Thursday, the foreign affairs ministers of the countries in the Group of Twenty (G20) began the second and final session of their work in Rio de Janeiro, where they will discuss reforms in multilateral institutions such as the United Nations and the International Monetary Fund.

After addressing conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza in Wednesday's session, the representatives of the world's largest economies are discussing reforms that will enable multilateral organizations to be more effective in addressing the escalation of international tensions.

The "Global Governance Reform" is one of the priorities of the G20 during Brazil's presidency, which will coordinate this international forum until November, when the G20 Summit of Heads of State and Government is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro.

Brazilian President Lula da Silva advocates for profound reforms in multilateral bodies for conflict resolution, especially reforms in the United Nations Security Council (UNSC).

"The current global governance institutions are not equipped to deal with the tensions we are currently facing, as evidenced by the paralysis of the United Nations, which is reflected in the loss of innocent lives," said Brazilian Foreign Minister Mauro Vieira on Wednesday.

Vieira said that Brazil is very concerned about the current security situation in the world and cited a study showing that there were at least 170 conflicts between states in 2023, a figure that implies the highest level of interstate conflict in the past three decades.

"Without peace and cooperation, it will be very difficult to achieve the promised mobilization of resources needed to address challenges such as the fight against poverty and inequality, and the protection of the environment," he said.

Almost all the foreign ministers of the countries attended the G20 meeting in Rio, with the exception of China and Italy. Also in attendance are ministers from some countries invited by Brazil, including Argentina, Bolivia, Paraguay, and Uruguay.

The Rio de Janeiro meeting also includes U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov.

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 27 points 9 months ago

Venezuelan Attorney General Provides More Data on Bracelet Plot

Rocio San Miguel provided information to an ambassador of a European country about Venezuela's military capabilities.

On Monday, Venezuelan Attorney General Tareck William Saab provided details on the involvement of several citizens in the so-called Operation Bracelet, which aimed to overthrow the administration of President Nicolas Maduro.

More specifically, Saab referred to an opposition activist linked to the Citizen Control NGO, Rocio San Miguel, who appears in documents seized from the plotters.

Operation Bracelet aimed to attack the 21st Infantry Brigade and the First Black Battalion in the state of Tachira to seize weapons, the Attorney General said, recalling that those involved in the operation also planned to attempt against the life of Governor Freddy Bernal and initiate a escalation of acts to culminate in an attempt against President Maduro.

"Should the Venezuelan State lower its guard against this type of events? In the U.S. or the European Union, what would happen if anyone is involved in operations to propagate criminal actions?," Saab asked after showing how the conspirators had the complicity of San Miguel.

The Attorney General also presented maps with the coordinates of 24 security zones and military installations that were seized from San Miguel during her detention. He insisted that San Miguel is a spy who developed contacts with FANB members to unleash illegal actions.

"We found evidence of the elaboration of lists and profiles of the military commanders of the country. From their communications, it is clear that they have lists of all military personnel. Explain to me how a supposed human rights activist should have this type of information. This corresponds more to the profile of an agent," he stressed.

"The investigations have led us to consider that San Miguel is far from having the profile of a human rights defender," Saab said, noticing that the actions of human rights activists are usually peaceful.

San Miguel, however, provided information to an ambassador of a European country about Venezuela's military capabilities and received money from an oil transnational company, the Attorney General revealed.

Finally, Saab rejected accusations of so-called "forced disappearance" of San Miguel, stating that those accusations are "an offense" compared to what happens with true forced disappearances in the world.

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 26 points 9 months ago

The Panamanian courts have ordered the arrest of the country's former president, Ricardo Martinelli, who was sentenced to more than 10 years in prison for corruption in the New Business case. Martinelli, however, is taking refuge in the Nicaraguan embassy in Panama.

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