this post was submitted on 19 Feb 2024
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Image is of Jakarta, the capital of Indonesia and the fastest sinking city in the world. A new capital is being built elsewhere in Indonesia.


I was going to make Indonesia the COTW anyway (unless something really massive happened somewhere else) due to the elections that might really designate the end of an era in Indonesian politics. Michael Roberts wrote up a big piece on Indonesia about a week ago, one day before the election began, so a lot of this information is coming from him.


Indonesia has been ruled by President Joko Widodo for 10 years, but is now barred from a third term constitutionally. Under his presidency, the Indonesian economy has seen fairly good GDP growth overall - about 5% per year, or an average of 4% per capita - and is broadly popular with the electorate. The biggest problems are the common ones, such as a lack of jobs and a high cost of living. Widodo's successors have naturally promised more jobs and an economic plan that clearly draws at least some inspiration from China's rise from the periphery to the heights of the world economy and manufacturing, but this seems pretty unlikely for Indonesia because, well, Indonesia is ruled by capitalist bourgeoisie parties and China is not. Indonesia's main gigs are palm oil, nickel ore, and oil, with internal manufacturing of these primary commodities only slowly growing and reliant on foreign labour.

Indonesia has a rather big employment problem. On the face of it, things don't seem bad, with an unemployment rate of only 5% - but this is only because it counts anybody who works even a couple hours per week. 60% of the workers in Indonesia are in the informal sector, with no real labour rights, sick pay, or guaranteed wages. And half of the ~8 million unemployed are young people. Indonesia is the sixth most unequal country on the planet, with at least 36% of the population in poverty, and the four richest men own as much as the bottom 100 million. This was a natural consequence of the policies of the dictator Suharto, who came to power in a coup overthrowing the communist nationalist leader Sukarno and killing one million communists, a period covered by Bevin's The Jakarta Method. At a fundamental level, not that much has changed since Suharto, and the country seems doomed to a path of slowing economic growth and massive amounts of environmental degradation under a plundering elite who will presumably fly off to New Zealand with the rest of them once the seas swallow the country, unless a communist movement can be rebuilt from ashes and can learn the lessons of 1965-66.

Though results have yet to be officially announced, it seems that 72-year-old Prabowo Subianto is overwhelmingly likely to have handily won the election. Once banned from the United States for human rights violations - a truly phenomenal feat - he has been the Minister of Defense since 2019, was an army lieutenant under Suharto and was his son-in-law. While this is obviously a particularly bad outcome, none of the other candidates seemed likely to fundamentally alter the trajectory of Indonesia, so the game was rigged from the start.


The Country of the Week is Indonesia! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Kaplya@hexbear.net 38 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (11 children)

Something that has been bothering me for a while and I thought maybe someone here could shed some light on this: what’s the deal with the eXile gang (the War Nerds i.e. Mark Ames, John Dolan, as well as Yasha Levine and Matt Taibbi) and Eduard Limonov, the founder of the National Bolshevik Party (together with Aleksandr Dugin)?

Limonov not only published regular columns in the eXile (his only writings in English), but apparently they were close enough friends that he wrote the foreword of their book The Exile: Sex, Drugs, and Libel in the New Russia in 2000, and the book materials were apparently also quite some source of controversy.

Limonov was imprisoned in 2001. Putin banned the National Bolshevik Party in 2007. The Russian government forced the eXile to close down in 2008. The last two seem to be connected. Is this why they hate Putin so much?

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[–] Sickos@hexbear.net 38 points 9 months ago (1 children)
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[–] CTHlurker@hexbear.net 37 points 9 months ago (5 children)

So the Danish government just gave a Security Statement (not sure if this means a security guarantee, or if this is the same type of agreement that Hungary and China just signed) to Ukraine for the next 10 years, proving that the Danish SocDems and our Liberals are functionally hitlerites (though we mostly already knew that part). Jesus fuck I hate this fucking country

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 37 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Macri and Milei Are Responsible for Poverty in Argentina: CFK

In less than a month of government, President Javier Milei increased poverty to 54 percent.

On Monday, former Argentine president and vice president Cristina Fernandez-Kirchner blamed former president Mauricio Macri and current president Javier Milei for the poverty rate surpassing 57.4 percent.

"Today we are worse off than in 2004," Fernandez-Kirchner said, emphasizing that the far-right President Milei's economic policies are plunging millions of Argentines into hunger.

Previously, the Argentine Catholic University's Social Debt Observatory (ODSA-UCA) published a report showing that the poverty rate rose from 49.5 percent in December to 57.4 percent in January.

This is the highest poverty rate since 2004 when Argentina reached 54 percent poverty. Currently, nearly 27 million people are living in poverty.

Cristina on poverty in Argentina: 'They are playing with the Argentinians' table.' "The vice president was very harsh with the governments of Mauricio Macri and Javier Milei after analyzing the evolution of poverty.

Between December 2023 and January 2024, the extreme poverty rate rose from 14.2 percent to 15 percent, which represents 7 million indigent people.

Since assuming the presidency on Dec. 10, 2023, Milei has implemented economic policies that have driven inflation above 200 percent, thus causing a sharp decline in real incomes for the population. All this happened while the far-right politician swore that the burden of the crisis would be borne by the political elites, whom he derogatorily calls "The Caste."

Fernandez-Kirchner recalled that the current critical situation began to take shape with Macri's decisions regarding external debt, which facilitated the return of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to the economic decision-making processes in this South American country.

This created a structural condition that prevented the government of Alberto Fernandez (2019-2023) from finding solutions to the "Gordian knot of the Argentine economy."

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 37 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (1 children)

Brazil intends to reinforce that President Lula's (Workers' Party) criticism of the conflict in the Gaza Strip focuses on the State of Israel and the government of Benjamin Netanyahu, and not on the Jewish people. But he will not apologize for last weekend's speech.

Brazil insists that criticism of the Israeli attacks must continue: the plan now is to make the separation of positions between the actions of the state and its population clearer.

The Planalto believes that Lula's speech was not wrong, but that it could be mistaken for an attack on the Jewish people. The president is meeting this morning with former chancellor Celso Amorim, the presidency's special advisor for international affairs, and minister Paulo Pimenta at the Alvorada Palace to discuss the issue.

Within the government, there are also those who argue that the president should focus on the link between Netanyahu and the extreme right. Even before the war, the Israeli leader, who had a good relationship with former president Jair Bolsonaro (Liberal Party), has adopted strong positions against the two-state solution and also made controversial statements involving dictator Adolf Hitler in 2015.

Rogério Marinho (Liberal Party), leader of the opposition in the Senate, classified the speech as "historical ignorance". Federal deputy Jandira Feghali (Communist Party of Brazil) said it was a "necessary comparison".

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[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 36 points 9 months ago

Once banned from the United States for human rights violations - a truly phenomenal feat - he has been the Minister of Defense since 2019, was an army lieutenant under Suharto and was his son-in-law.

Ah the Modi strat

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