this post was submitted on 18 Mar 2024
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Image is of President Vladimir Putin, with his cook Prigozhin, though he is more famous for other things.


I'm assuming we all know what a "Russia" and a "Putin" is, so I'm skipping the background section.

On March 15th, Putin handily won the presidential election. This is perhaps one of the least surprising things to happen in the last couple years, and all claims and debates about electoral corruption are missing the point (in this particular election at least). The reason why Putin won is not fascist brainwashing or Putin having a high Persuasion/Intimidation DC, and it's not even really about the laws that make opposing the Ukraine War illegal. Wages are up significantly, unemployment is at record lows (for the post-USSR period, of course), as is poverty, and the ruble is about as stable as it could be given what the West has tried to do to it. The government has been forced to massively intervene in the economy to keep things afloat, buying up properties that have been ditched by foreign and domestic billionaires, though obviously Russia's wealthy are still plenty powerful. Inflation is up, but wages are comfortably outpacing it. And the Communist Party remains a relic of a bygone era, disconnected from the young people who might hypothetically propel a revolution.

Russia is still in the transition from switching to a Western-oriented export economy to an Eastern-oriented one. Nonetheless, Russia is now China's single largest oil supplier (unseating Saudi Arabia), delivering half of all their oil to China, and trade between the two countries has massively increased. Where Western brands have retreated from Russia (and not many actually have), more Russia-friendly corporations, and Russian businesses themselves, have filled the gaps.

By going through the news, I've seen a lot of economies that are not doing well at all. Most countries seem to be in that category. Either they have general growth but a deeply struggling populace, or the government is trying to keep the population afloat but running up huge debts in the process, or the government is failing on both counts. Russia is one of the few countries on the planet that I can confidently state is actually doing quite well objectively, which means it's doing extremely well relatively. Considering the Western economists regularly delivering portents of doom in early 2022, and salivating over how they were going to divide the country following the inevitable economic collapse, this is a hilarious state of affairs.

In the long term, their predictions may come true. It is entirely possible that a post-war Russia will slump, returning to neoliberal policies and continuing their nonsensical allergy to budget deficits. Russia might not be a mere gas station, but a substantial amount of the economy is made up of fossil fuel exports, which might be troublesome in a greener future, especially as China, their main oil market, is one of the few countries on the planet that seems serious about renewable/nuclear energy. And the limited labour force means that long-term growth is inherently limited without some creative measures, even with the potential influx of whatever remains of the population and territory that Russia seizes in Ukraine. Perhaps it is in this crucible of disillusionment and hardship, after seeing that good things are indeed possible if the government wishes them to be so, that a socialist Russia could rise again. But we aren't there yet, and the growth continues for now.

Much of this information is, again, from Michael Roberts. It seems like we're both doing the same strategy of hopping from election to election.


Apologies for the lack of updates (again!), I've been going through book titles again for the reading list (I've probably got a thousand or more to get through) and also trying to touch grass more. I'm not very good at balancing things out, I tend to do the hyperfocus-on-one-thing-until-it's-done approach.


The COTW (Country of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific country every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied nations. If you've wanted to talk about the country or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don't worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any country.

The Country of the Week is Russia! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 33 points 8 months ago (2 children)

The Country of the Week is Russia!

Feel free to post or recommend any books, essays, studies, articles, and even stories related to Russia.

If you know a lot about the country and want to share your knowledge and opinions, here are some questions to get you started if you wish:

  • What is the general ideology of the political elite? Do they tend to be protectionist nationalists, or are they more free trade globalists? Are they compradors put there by foreign powers? Are they socialists with wide support by the population?
  • What are the most important domestic political issues that make the country different from other places in the region or world? Are there any peculiar problems that have continued existing despite years or decades with different parties?
  • Is the country generally stable? Are there large daily protests or are things calm on average? Is the ruling party/coalition generally harmonious or are there frequent arguments or even threats?
  • Is there a particular country to which this country has a very impactful relationship over the years, for good or bad reasons? Which one, and why?
  • What are the political factions in the country? What are the major parties, and what segments of the country do they attract?
  • Are there any smaller parties that nonetheless have had significant influence? Are there notable separatist movements?
  • How socially progressive or conservative is the country generally? To what degree is there equality between men and women, as well as different races and ethnic groups? Are LGBTQIA+ rights protected?
  • Give a basic overview of the last 50 or 100 years. What's the historical trend of politics, the economy, social issues, etc - rise or decline? Were they always independent or were they once occupied, and how have things been since independence if applicable?
  • If you want, go even further back in history. Were there any kingdoms or empires that once governed the area?

Here's some books on Russia/USSR on our reading list:

These books focus on general history and politics:

  • Russia and the Long Transition from Capitalism to Socialism by Samir Amin (2016).

These books focus on history and politics prior to the Russian Revolution:

  • The Development of Capitalism in Russia by Vladimir Lenin (1899).

These books focus on the Russian Revolution:

  • 10 Days That Shook The World by John Reed (1919).
  • History of the Russian Revolution by Leon Trotsky (1930).
  • Red Petrograd: Revolution in the Factories, 1917–1918 by S. A. Smith (1983).
  • October: The Story of the Russian Revolution by China Mieville (2017).
  • The Russian Revolution: A View from the Third World by Walter Rodney (2018).

These books focus on the Soviet Union:

  • Karl Marx Collective: Economy, Society and Religion in a Siberian Collective Farm by Caroline Humphrey (1983).
  • Human Rights in the Soviet Union: Including Comparisons with the USA by Albert Syzmanski (1984).
  • Molotov Remembers: Inside Kremlin Politics by Felix Chuev (1993).
  • The Soviet Century by Moshe Lewin (2003).
  • The Years of Hunger: Soviet Agriculture, 1931-1933 by R. Davies and Stephen G. Wheatcroft (2004).
  • Empire of Nations: Ethnographic Knowledge and the Making of the Soviet Union by Francine Hirsch (2005).
  • A Failed Empire: The Soviet Union in the Cold War from Stalin to Gorbachev by Vladislav Zubok (2007). Anti-Stalin, Anti-Khruschev, and anti-Gorbachev, so a real Everyone Here Sucks dude.
  • Stalin: History and Critique of a Black Legend by Domenico Losurdo (2008).
  • Inside Lenin’s Government: Ideology, Power and Practice in the Early Soviet State by Lara Douds (2018).

These books focus on the fall of the Soviet Union:

  • Perestroika: The Complete Collapse of Revisionism by Harpal Brar (1992).
  • Heroic Struggle, Bitter Defeat: Factors Contributing to the Dismantling of the Socialist State in the Soviet Union by Bahman Azad (2000).
  • Socialism Betrayed: Behind the Collapse of the Soviet Union by Roger Keeran and Thomas Kenny (2004).
  • Collapse: The Fall of the Soviet Union by Vladislav M. Zubok (2021). Same context as above.

These books focus on post-Soviet Russia:

  • Russia Without Putin: Money, Power and the Myths of the New Cold War by Tony Wood (2018).

These books focus on indigenous history and politics:

  • Arctic Mirrors: Russia and the Small Peoples of the North by Yuri Slezkine (1994).
  • When the North was Red: Aboriginal Education In Soviet Siberia by Alice L. Bartels and Dennis Bartels (1995).
  • Floating Coast: An Environmental History of the Bering Strait by Bathsheba Demuth (2019).
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[–] BynarsAreOk@hexbear.net 33 points 8 months ago (19 children)

Not sure if anyone should put too much faith into this but I randomly decide to look at this well known Ukrainian rumor/leak telegram and they are running this story This is a leak of the new so called Instanbul-2 deal. This could literaly be what someone wrote in a google doc but then again it would be completely normal for this to be leaked on some western MSM 18 months from now as if it is some big story.

Anyway, the surprising thing is this is definitely not something supported by the pro-Russian side but if this was truly made by a third "neutral" party to save face then maybe it makes sense. I have no clue whether this document looks even remotely legitimate but I guess its worth noticing in case it appears elsewhere.

first

TLAjend Istanbul-2 Our source from Zelensky’s circle shared information about the Turkish peace initiative within the framework of negotiations on strategic stability between the United States and Russia with the participation of Ukraine, which Erdogan has been promoting since the end of last year. On March 8, Erdogan announced Turkey’s readiness to organize and hold a peace summit with Russia’s participation. According to Erdogan’s proposals, the conditions for peace and security guarantees for Ukraine could be: - an immediate cessation of hostilities; - Ukraine receiving from the United States and the Russian Federation joint guarantees of security and territorial integrity within the actual borders at the time of the ceasefire; - Ukraine’s commitment to be a non-aligned, neutral, demilitarized and non-aligned state until 2040; - the obligation of the Russian Federation to hold in 2040 (no later than 6 months from the date of the national referendum on the geopolitical position of Ukraine after 2040) new referendums on “territorial affiliation” in the Russian-controlled territories of Ukraine; - exchange no later than one month according to the “all for all” formula of prisoners of war, other detainees and the bodies of dead soldiers; - The USA, Russia and Turkey support Ukraine’s desire to join the European Union. According to the source, the proposal of Istanbul-2 was rejected by the Ukrainian side.

second

TLColleagues, we would like to talk in more detail about the essence of the agreements between the United States and Russia on strategic stability in the initiative proposed by Erdogan to achieve peace in Ukraine within the framework of such negotiations. Our sources in the Office of the President kindly shared the draft joint statement between the United States, Ukraine, Russia and Turkey. The United States, Russia (and Ukraine), through the mediation of Turkey: - restore bilateral consultations on issues of strategic and global importance for the whole world, including control over strategic and nuclear arms; - exclude in their practice the use or threat of use of weapons of mass destruction, interference in the internal affairs of other states; - will resume the START Treaty in full before its expiration and, during this period, will hold negotiations with other states possessing nuclear weapons in order to conclude a new “expanded” START Treaty (the goal is to drag England, France and China into the treaty); - no later than the end of 2024, they will jointly develop and submit for consideration an agreed draft of the UN Convention on the responsibility of states, officials and citizens for interference in the internal affairs of other states; - no later than the end of 2024, they will submit for consideration an agreed draft of the UN Convention on Poverty Reduction and the Prevention of Mass Migration; - no later than the end of 2024, they will jointly develop and submit for consideration an agreed draft of the UN Convention on improving the activities of the Global Environment Facility.

Therefore, colleagues, you are right, Biden and his team, already fully in the election campaign, rejected this initiative of Erdogan, not wanting to question their role as a world hegemon, thereby giving a pass to Trump.

supposed document

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[–] nat_turner_overdrive@hexbear.net 33 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (1 children)
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[–] ThomasMuentzner@hexbear.net 33 points 8 months ago (2 children)
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[–] GVAGUY3@hexbear.net 32 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

Saw a dude at a show with a Tryzub tattoo. I didn't see any other fascist symbols on him. I really hope he was some rube, not fash.

[–] CTHlurker@hexbear.net 32 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (16 children)

#Tradle #745 X/6

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https://games.oec.world/en/tradle

I hate this game

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[–] Neptium@lemmygrad.ml 32 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

Random SEA headlines

No excerpts this week because I was wayy too busy.

22/03/2024 Thai ports bemoan competitive decline as Srettha pushes land bridge

24/03/2024 Singapore-Malaysia's water row A good primer if anyone is interested in Singapore-Malaysia water politics.

14/03/2024 Japan, ASEAN to integrate QR code payments from 2025

Most of ASEAN have already integrated QR payments as a means of building an alternative financial system that is more resilient from Western financial warfare.

22/03/2024 ASEAN, China, Hong Kong cooperate for first time in textile industry

10/03/2024 'A perfect mess': Thailand's proposed cannabis crackdown steeped in political games and business owner anger

20/03/2024 'Today tobacco, tomorrow foreign govt?': Putrajaya urged to set up royal inquiry on who killed GEG bill

Controlling substance abuse is also a hot topic for Thailand’s neighbour, where there have been outcry about the government dropping GEG (Generational Endgame) and electronic smoking devices from the Anti-Smoking bill passed late last year. The GEG would have banned the consumption and sale of Tobacco for anyone born after 2005.

18/03/2024 Thai Parliament Set to Legalize Same-Sex Marriage By Year’s End, Official Says

22/03/2024 Three landmark agreements between S’pore and Indonesia take effect, including on airspace management

24/03/2024 China’s construction for Indonesia’s new capital Nusantara to lead growing overseas city-building portfolio

Semiconductor news on Malaysia22/03/2024 ASML supplier Neways to build new plant in Malaysia

11/03/2024 Malaysia: the surprise winner from US-China chip wars

13/03/2024 Malaysia Rises as Crucial Link in chip supply chain

[–] VILenin@hexbear.net 32 points 8 months ago (11 children)

via Intel Slava so make of it what you will, but allegedly a photographer at Crocus City Hall took this picture of one of the suspects on March 7th in the venue.

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