silence7

joined 2 years ago
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The key figure is this one, which shows that new fossil gas exports would replace a lot of overseas renewables, but very little coal, while also generating a lot of new fossil fuel use.

 

The paper is here, and the lead author has a BlueSky thread about it

 

cross-posted from: https://slrpnk.net/post/16255447

The very long timetable on this basically tells us that most of the work needed to decarbonize electric generation will be in the form of wind and solar, rather than something exotic like this.

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 8 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

His actual statement:

He added: “Some of the models suggest to Dr [Wieslav] Maslowski that there is a 75% chance that the entire north polar ice cap during some of the summer months could be completely ice-free within the next five to seven years.”

Gore cited findings from climatologist Dr Wieslav Maslowski, a research professor at the Naval Postgraduate School (here).

However, it appears he mis-stated the forecast, according to reporting at the time.

In an interview with The Times published on Dec. 15, 2009 (here), Dr Maslowski said: “It’s unclear to me how this figure was arrived at. I would never try to estimate likelihood at anything as exact as this.”

According to the report, Gore’s office acknowledged after his speech that the 75% figure was used by Dr Maslowski as a “ballpark figure” in a conversation with the vice president several years before COP15.

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 3 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

No, I'm saying that it isn't possible significantly shift peoples' diets to olive oil from other fats and oils because olive oil consumption is supply-constrained.

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 32 points 2 weeks ago

The drunk-at-work problem had a lot more witnesses

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 3 points 2 weeks ago

It's more that having some idea of what they're going to go after first and how they're going go do so makes it easier to be ready to fight back

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 1 points 2 weeks ago

Historic low (since 1975 when records were first kept) in terms of emissions per mile, for motor vehicles sold in the US in model year 2023.

graph source

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 7 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

We can't take the risk to zero — but we can reduce it pretty sharply. And that would be a big deal.

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 11 points 2 weeks ago (5 children)

Olive oil doesn't scale to match anything near current human consumption — a big chunk of what's sold as olive oil is already counterfeit.

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 16 points 2 weeks ago (5 children)

They're comparing actual exposure to estimated risk at that exposure. So no, we're not doing nearly enough to limit exposure, which is the whole point.

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 1 points 2 weeks ago

Yes, worldwide emissions are still rising — largely because of emissions growth outside the US.

And no, it's not a result of "dodgy accounting" — it's because of how electrical generation has changed, with a sharp drop in the use of coal.

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 5 points 2 weeks ago

There are a lot of options for dealing with that, including the possibility of burying bodies for a century or three, and subsequently moving any bones to an ossuary.

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 13 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

There's a deep human need to engage in death-related rituals, and burial is one that's been around for a very very long time. I do not expect to end the use of burial.

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 7 points 2 weeks ago

Yeah, inland areas transition to a thermokarst landscape, while places next to the ocean can just disappear entirely.

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